Table 5.
Regression analysis of changes in malaria incidence and mortality over the period of 2013–2014
| Variables | Change in incidence* | Change in mortality |
|---|---|---|
| Constant | 3.93 | 6.9E−12 |
| (30.53) | (9.22E−11) | |
| Public provider density | 0.93 | 1.15 |
| (0.06) | (0.14) | |
| LLIN coverage (possession) | 0.46 | 1.90 |
| (0.17)** | (1.36) | |
| IPTp coverage | 1.24 | 0.84 |
| (0.11)** | (0.16) | |
| Rainfall level | 1.00 | 1.001 |
| (0.0003)*** | (0.0007)** | |
| Package categorical variable (change compared to SUFI only) | ||
| SUFI + SMC | 0.68 | 0.39 |
| (0.08)*** | (0.08)*** | |
| SUFI + IRS | 1.03 | 0.29 |
| (0.28) | (0.17)** | |
| SUFI + IRS + SMC | 0.49 | 0.12 |
| (0.14)** | (0.05)*** | |
| Log likelihood | − 1283.25 | − 390.33 |
| Pseudo R squared | 0.1748 | 0.3128 |
| Prob > chi2 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Nbr. observations | 152 | 152 |
* We reported the IRR (incident rate ratio) instead of traditional coefficients. Standard errors are reported in parentheses. ** and *** significance at respectively 5 and 1%