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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2018 Jun 27.
Published in final edited form as: Biometrics. 2017 Oct 11;74(2):636–644. doi: 10.1111/biom.12792

Table 2. Application Results.

Hazard rates and 95% equal-tail credible intervals (CI) of potential risk factors for transitioning between N → S and S → N states after the scheduled quit attempt.

Risk Factor After Quit Attempt
N → S (95% CI) S → N (95% CI)
Baseline hazard 0.081 (0.062, 0.107) 0.321 (0.248, 0.416)
HSI 0.727 (0.587, 0.901)** 0.796 (0.623, 1.016)*
Education level 0.976 (0.930, 1.023) 1.010 (0.965, 1.057)
Age 0.673 (0.535, 0.845)** 0.568 (0.447, 0.723)**
Race/Ethnicity 1.002 (0.954, 1.052) 0.995 (0.948, 1.045)
CM 0.569 (0.452, 0.717)** 1.002 (0.954, 1.053)
Urge 1.565 (1.231, 1.988)** 1.264 (0.997, 1.602)*
Happy 1.000 (0.954, 1.048) 0.998 (0.952, 1.046)
Calm 0.615 (0.477, 0.791)** 0.653 (0.517, 0.824)**
Irritable 0.995 (0.949, 1.044) 1.002 (0.955, 1.050)
Frustrated 0.999 (0.952, 1.047) 0.993 (0.947, 1.041)
Sad 1.002 (0.956, 1.051) 0.995 (0.950, 1.043)
Worried 0.503 (0.381, 0.665)** 0.532 (0.409, 0.692)**
Miserable 1.007 (0.960, 1.056) 0.987 (0.942, 1.035)
Interacting w/ smoker 1.001 (0.954, 1.052) 0.998 (0.950, 1.048)
Self-efficacy 0.711 (0.631, 0.802)** 0.998 (0.950, 1.047)
Cigarettes available 1.446 (1.151, 1.819)** 0.772 (0.613, 0.972)**
Being outside 0.572 (0.357, 0.917)** 0.293 (0.180, 0.476)**
In a car/truck 0.780 (0.455, 1.338)* 0.527 (0.296, 0.938)**
At work 0.999 (0.951, 1.049) 1.001 (0.953, 1.051)
**

Risk factor selected by EMVS and CI does not contain hazard ratio equal to 1

*

Risk factor selected by EMVS and CI does contain hazard ratio equal to 1