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. 2016 Dec 9;19(7):817–825. doi: 10.1093/ntr/ntw290

Table 1.

Numbers of Reported Incident Myocardial Infarctions and Fatal Coronary Heart Disease (CHD) Deaths for the Agricultural Health Study (AHS) and CHD Deaths for the Alpha-Tocopherol, Beta-Carotene (ATBC) Cancer Prevention Study, Person-Years (P-yrs) At Risk, Relative Risks (RRs) With 95% Confidence Intervals (CI) for Pack-Years of Cigarette Smoking and Cigarettes Smoked per day, Individually and Jointly

Eventsa P-yrs RRb 95% CI RRb 95% CI RRb,c 95% CI
AHS cohort
Never-smoker 1941 885273.0 1 1 1
Pack-years of smoking
 1–19 1009 311082.0 1.26 (1.17,1.36) 1.25 (1.10,1.41)
 20–29 338 76202.8 1.59 (1.41,1.79) 1.61 (1.34,1.94)
 30–39 303 55397.2 1.67 (1.46,1.92) 1.77 (1.43,2.18)
 40–49 247 36000.6 1.98 (1.71,2.30) 2.18 (1.79,2.64)
 50–59 154 20566.6 2.18 (1.752.71) 2.42 (1.81,3.25)
 ≥60 404 41453.8 2.26 (1.96,2.60) 2.75 (2.22,3.41)
pd <.01 <.01
Cigarettes/day
 1–9 314 94722.4 1.24 (1.10,1.42) 1
 10–19 455 128144.0 1.53 (1.27,1.84) 1.09 (0.88,1.33)
 20–29 918 188401.0 1.55 (1.37,1.76) 0.95 (0.81,1.11)
 30–39 302 54168.9 1.80 (1.58,2.04) 0.87 (0.72,1.06)
 ≥40 466 75266.9 1.80 (1.59,2.04) 0.78 (0.63,0.97)
pd <.01 .02
ATBC cohort
Never-smoker 1 1 1
Pack-years of smoking
 1–19 568 65513.1 1.54 (1.42,1.68) 1.54 (1.41,1.68)
 20–29 799 69219.1 2.01 (1.87,2.15) 1.99 (1.78,2.23)
 30–39 991 91442.3 2.10 (1.97,2.24) 2.10 (1.84,2.40)
 40–49 1143 99164.1 2.11 (2.00,2.24) 2.17 (1.90,2.48)
 50–59 996 70317.6 2.34 (2.20,2.49) 2.46 (2.14,2.83)
 ≥60 1482 90987.0 2.63 (2.50,2.77) 2.85 (2.46,3.31)
pd <.01 <.01
Cigarettes/day
 1–9 619 54339.7 1.67 (1.54,1.81) 1
 10–19 2499 190647.0 2.14 (2.06,2.22) 1.02 (0.91,1.15)
 20–29 2193 185687.0 2.28 (2.18,2.37) 0.93 (0.81,1.06)
 30–39 488 42109.4 2.43 (2.23,2.66) 0.87 (0.74,1.03)
 ≥40 180 13860.1 2.87 (2.48,3.32) 1.01 (0.82,1.24)
pd .01 .01

aNumbers for events reflect smoking status at cohort exit and for AHS categories at one imputation.

bFor the AHS cohort, RRs in relation to never-smokers adjusted for age, calendar year, sex, state, body mass index, physician diagnosed hypertension, diabetes and regular use of alcohol, with entries based on M = 5 imputations. For the ATBC cohort, RRs in relation to Finnish mortality rates adjusted to represent never-smokers.

cModel includes main effects for both pack-years and cigarettes/day, with the RR for 1–9 cigarettes/day set to one for identifiability.

d p value for test of no linear trend.