Host demography |
Dog density |
Facilitator |
Density‐dependent transmission often assumed for directly transmitted pathogens such as RABV (Cross et al., 2013; Ferrari, Perkins, Pomeroy, & Bjørnstad, 2011; Morters et al., 2013). |
Isotropic Gaussian smoothing kernel applied to census dog counts in grid cells. |
0.034–10 |
Human and dog population census (Sambo et al., 2017) |
Dog presence |
Facilitator |
Dog population distribution and possible movement routes (Beyer et al., 2011; Bourhy et al., 2016). Areas without dogs (or humans) are expected to be occupied by wildlife, which are considered to be nonmaintenance (i.e., dead end) hosts in this system (Lembo et al., 2007, 2008). |
Dog presence/absence per cell. |
0.1–1 |
Human and dog population census (Sambo et al., 2017) |
Elevation |
Barrier |
Typically lower human (and dog) densities at higher elevations (Cohen & Small, 1998). |
90 m resolution resampled to 100 m resolution |
1,164–1,741 |
Digital elevation model (DEM) from NASA Shuttle Radar Topology Mission data http://srtm.usgs.gov/index.php
|
Host movement |
Human: dog ratio (HDR) |
Barrier |
Measure of human intervention: in areas with higher HDR, rabid dogs may be more rapidly caught/killed. |
Village‐level HDRs from human and dog counts. |
3.39–12 |
Human and dog population census (Sambo et al., 2017) |
Rivers |
Barrier |
Barriers to dog movement unless movement is facilitated by human activity (60,61). |
Shape file rasterized |
1–1,000 |
http://www.glcn.org/activities/africover_en.jsp
|
Roads |
Facilitator |
Presence of humans (and dogs) close to roads/dog behaviour influenced by roads (e.g., food, movement)/human‐mediated transport. |
Shape file rasterized |
0.001–1 |
http://www.glcn.org/activities/africover_en.jsp
|
Slope |
Barrier |
Steepness acts as a physical impediment to host movement. |
90 m resolution DEM resampled to 100 m resolution |
1–1.24 |
Estimated from resampled DEM (see above) |
Uniform landscape |
Barrier |
Dog movements expected to follow an isolation‐by‐distance pattern (Wright, 1943), that is, a null model for comparison. |
Uniform grid |
1 |
NA |
Host susceptibility |
Average vaccination coverage |
Barrier |
Vaccination coverage increases herd immunity, reducing transmission and disease incidence |
Annual vaccination coverage from 2004 to 2013 averaged and aggregated at village level |
6.43–100 |
This study |
Campaigns over 10‐year period |
Barrier |
High coverage, repeat campaigns are most effective for reducing transmission and for disease elimination (Ferguson et al., 2015; Townsend et al., 2013). |
Number of vaccination campaigns with at least 10% coverage per village from 2004 to 2013 |
2–14 |
This study |
Susceptible host density |
Facilitator |
Resistance surface incorporating vaccination of the dog population. |
Same as total density (see above) |
0.037–10 |
This study |