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. 2018 Feb 3;54(2):708–728. doi: 10.1002/2017WR020970

Table 1.

Narrative Combinations Obtained From Combining Climate and Socioeconomic Narratives (Figure 3), Including Baseline Climate and Baseline Water Demand Conditions

Climate narratives (precipitation changes) Socioeconomic narratives
Intrabasin water conflict (increasing water demand) denoted by D+ Sustainable development (decreasing water demand) denoted by D− Baseline demand (no change in future water demand) denoted by D∼
C (large increase) P++D+ P++D− P++D∼
B (large decrease) P−−D+ P−−D− P−−D∼
A1 (small increase) P+D+ P+D− P+D∼
D1 (small decrease) P−D+ P−D− P−D∼
Baseline (no change) P∼D+ P∼D− P∼D∼

Note. Four changes in mean precipitation are defined and a baseline (no change in precipitation). Two socioeconomic narratives are used; Sustainable Development (SD) and Intrabasin Water Conflict (WC) and a baseline demand (no change in future water demand).