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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2019 May 1.
Published in final edited form as: Atherosclerosis. 2018 Mar 23;272:162–167. doi: 10.1016/j.atherosclerosis.2018.03.040

Hepatocyte growth factor is associated with progression of atherosclerosis: the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA)

Elizabeth J Bell a, Paul A Decker b, Michael Y Tsai c, James S Pankow d, Naomi Q Hanson c, Christina L Wassel e, Nicholas B Larson b, Kevin P Cohoon a,1, Matthew J Budoff f, Joseph F Polak g, James H Stein h, Suzette J Bielinski i,*
PMCID: PMC5908230  NIHMSID: NIHMS957292  PMID: 29609131

Abstract

Background and aims

Hepatocyte growth factor (HGF) has previously been associated with risk of stroke, coronary heart disease, and atherosclerosis. We hypothesized that higher circulating HGF is associated with greater progression of measures of atherosclerosis: coronary artery calcium (CAC) and carotid plaque.

Methods

Participants aged 45 to 84 years from the prospective cohort study Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis had HGF measured at baseline (between 2000 and 2002) and were followed for progression of atherosclerosis for up to 12 years. CAC was measured at all five exams using the Agatston method. Mixed-effects models were used to examine the association of HGF and CAC progression among 6695 participants with available data. Relative risk regression was used to assess the association between HGF and new or additional carotid plaque between exams 1 and 5 in 3400 participants with available data. All point estimates were adjusted for potential confounding variables.

Results

Each standard deviation higher HGF at baseline was associated with 2.9 Agatston units/year greater CAC progression (95% CI: 1.6–4.2, p < 0.0001), and the magnitude of this association differed by race/ethnicity (p value for interaction by race = 0.003). Each standard deviation higher HGF at baseline was associated with a 4% higher risk of new or additional carotid plaque (95% CI: 1.01–1.08, p = 0.005).

Conclusions

Higher levels of HGF were significantly associated with greater progression of atherosclerosis in this large and diverse population. Circulating HGF continues to show promise as a potential clinical biomarker for cardiovascular disease.

Keywords: Hepatocyte growth factor, Atherosclerosis, Cardiovascular risk factors, Coronary artery calcium, Carotid plaque

1. Introduction

The protein hepatocyte growth factor (HGF) and its receptor c-MET are produced in response to tissue injury and are functional in tissue repair mechanisms. Their favorable effects in the heart and vasculature include anti-inflammatory, anti-fibrotic, and pro-angiogenic actions [1]. Because HGF is released in response to endothelial injury, circulating HGF has been proposed as a potential clinical biomarker for cardiovascular disease (CVD) [1].

In accordance with the hypothesis that HGF could serve as a biomarker for CVD, higher levels of circulating HGF are associated with stroke, coronary heart disease, and atherosclerosis [2,3]. However, the association of HGF with progression of atherosclerosis is unknown. Atherosclerosis burden is known to be dynamic, with progression and regression possible over time [4]. Aptly put by McEvoy et al., “[one measurement of atherosclerosis] can be thought of as a single point on an atherosclerosis vs. time curve, whereas progression correlates with the slope of that curve” [5].

Therefore, we sought to examine the relation between circulating HGF and progression of atherosclerosis using data from a large, multi-ethnic, population-based prospective cohort study: the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA). We hypothesized that circulating HGF is positively associated with progression of measures of atherosclerosis: coronary artery calcium (CAC) and carotid plaque.

2. Patients and methods

2.1. Study population

MESA is a prospective cohort study that was initiated to investigate the prevalence, correlates, and progression of subclinical CVD [6]. MESA recruited 6814 participants aged 45–84 and free of clinically recognized CVD from populations near six field centers in Baltimore, Maryland; Chicago, Illinois; Forsyth County, North Carolina; Los Angeles, California; New York, New York; and Saint Paul, Minnesota. For exclusion purposes, CVD was defined as heart attack, angina, stroke, transient ischemic attack, heart failure, resuscitated cardiac arrest, or having undergone procedures related to CVD. Of the 6772 participants with serum HGF at baseline, we excluded individuals from all analyses if they 1) had an extreme value of HGF, defined as four or more standard deviations (SDs) beyond the mean (n = 31); 2) were subsequently found to have prevalent CVD at baseline (n = 4); or 3) had missing data for any variable included in analyses (n = 42). Our final sample size for statistical analyses was 6695. Carotid plaque analyses were additionally restricted to participants with both baseline and follow-up (exam 5) carotid ultrasound data (n = 3400 included in carotid plaque analyses). Exam 1 (baseline) occurred from 2000 to 2002, exam 2 from 2002 to 2004, exam 3 from 2004 to 2005, exam 4 from 2005 to 2007, and exam 5 from 2010 to 2012. The study protocol conforms to the ethical guidelines of the 1975 Declaration of Helsinki. The Institutional Review Boards at participating centers approved MESA and its ancillary studies, and all participants gave written informed consent.

2.2. Baseline measurements

2.2.1. Measurement of HGF

Venous blood was obtained from fasting participants. Serum separation was performed within 30 minutes of phlebotomy, and aliquots were subsequently stored at −70°C. Circulating levels of HGF protein were measured in serum using a quantitative sandwich enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) with the Quantikine Human HGF Immunoassay kit (R&D Systems, Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA). This method was validated by R&D systems, as specified in the package insert, and verified by the University of Minnesota laboratory that measured HGF for this study. The lower limit of detection was 40 pg/ml. The interassay laboratory coefficients of variation were 12.0, 8.0, and 7.4% at respective mean concentrations of 687, 2039, and 4080 pg/ml for lyophilized manufacturer’s controls, and 10.4% at a mean concentration of 688 pg/ml for an in-house pooled serum control.

2.2.2. Other baseline measurements

Sex, age, race/ethnicity, cigarette smoking status, and education were obtained via questionnaires, and medication use was assessed via a medication inventory. Body mass index (BMI) was calculated as weight over height squared (kg)/(m2). Resting blood pressure was measured three times in the seated position using a Dinamap model Pro 100 automated oscillometric sphygmomanometer (Critikon, Tampa, Florida, USA). The average of the last two measurements was used in analyses. Participants were asked to fast for at least eight hours before their exam. Serum glucose was assayed by a glucose oxidase method on the Vitros analyzer (Johnson & Johnson Clinical Diagnostics, Rochester, New York, USA). Diabetes was defined as use of insulin or other diabetes medication, self-reported physician diagnosis, or fasting glucose ≥126 mg/dL. Total cholesterol was measured in ethylenediaminetetraacetic (EDTA) plasma using a cholesterol oxidase method (Roche Diagnostics, Indianapolis, Indiana, USA) on a Roche COBAS FARA centrifugal analyzer. After precipitation of non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol with magnesium/dextran, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol was also measured in EDTA plasma using the cholesterol oxidase method (Roche Diagnostics). Physical activity was determined by calculation of weekly metabolic-equivalent-of-task minutes of total walking, conditioning, and sports activity.

2.3. Measurement of outcomes: CAC progression and carotid plaque progression

2.3.1. CAC progression

The methodology used to measure CAC progression has been described in detail elsewhere [7]. Briefly, all participants (n = 6695) were scanned using noncontrast cardiac computed tomography during the baseline exam. By design, about half of the participants were scanned again during exam 2 (n = 2908), and the other half were scanned during exam 3 (n = 2764). The exam 4 selection strategy prioritized scanning participants without exam 3 scans (n = 1388 scanned during exam 4). The exam 5 selection strategy prioritized scanning participants with scans from exams 3 and/or 4 (n = 3264 scanned during exam 5). Because CAC scans are not meaningful after revascularization, we excluded scans that were obtained subsequent to coronary revascularization procedures that were performed after baseline (no participants had coronary revascularization at baseline due to exclusion criteria). Consistent calibration of scans was conducted using a “phantom” [8] and CAC scores were quantified using the Agatston method [9]. CAC progression was then measured in Agatston units/year.

2.3.2. New or additional carotid plaque

The methodology used to measure carotid plaque progression has been described in detail elsewhere [10]. Briefly, at baseline and exam 5, B-mode ultrasound images of the right and left common, bifurcation, and internal carotid artery segments were recorded on Super-VHS videotape with a Logiq 700 ultrasound system using the M12L transducer (General Electric Medical Systems). Carotid plaque was defined as a discrete, focal wall thickening ≥1.5 mm or focal thickening ≤50% greater than the surrounding IMT. Measurements of carotid plaque from baseline and exam 5 carotid ultrasound images were performed simultaneously. Carotid plaque score was defined as the number of carotid plaques (range 0–12) in the internal, bifurcation, and common segments of both carotid arteries. New or additional carotid plaque was defined as a binary variable (increase, no increase) based on any increase in carotid plaque score. Although uncommon (n = 30), if a participant had plaque regression between baseline and exam 5, they were categorized as “no increase,” as recommended elsewhere [5].

2.4. Statistical analyses

We performed analyses using SAS statistical software (version 9.4) and considered a p value <0.05 on a 2-tailed test as statistically significant. We presented baseline characteristics, mean CAC, and carotid plaque score by HGF tertile. Model 1 adjusted for basic demographics: age (continuous), race/ethnicity (non-Hispanic white American, Chinese American, African American, Hispanic American), and sex (male, female). Model 2 adjusted for all measured potential confounding variables: variables in Model 1 plus baseline values of BMI (continuous), smoking status (current, former, never), diabetes mellitus (yes, no), systolic blood pressure (continuous), antihypertensive medication use (yes, no), high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (continuous), total cholesterol (continuous), lipid-lowering medication use (yes, no), level of education (lower than high school level, high school level [ie, high school completed], some college education/technical school certificate or associate degree level, bachelor’s degree level, and graduate or professional school level), and physical activity (continuous). Model 2 in carotid plaque analyses additionally adjusted for time elapsed between exams 1 and 5 (continuous). By including cross-product terms in models, we tested for interactions of HGF with race/ethnicity.

2.4.1. CAC progression

CAC was modeled continuously on the raw scale in Agatston units. We used a mixed-effects model, as has previously been described in detail [7], to estimate the difference in average annual CAC progression (Agatston units/year) per one SD (259 pg/ml) increase in baseline HGF levels and corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Briefly, the analysis jointly models cross-sectional and longitudinal effects of covariates on CAC while accommodating participant-specific random slopes and intercepts. This approach offers three main benefits: 1) It allows us to control for baseline levels of CAC without inducing bias; 2) the assumption that data are missing completely at random is not required and, thus, risk of selection bias is mitigated; and 3) participants who did not attend all five exams can be included in the analysis, again lessening the risk of selection bias.

2.4.2 New or additional carotid plaque

We used relative risk regression [11] to calculate the risk of new or additional carotid plaque per one SD (259 pg/ml) higher baseline HGF and corresponding 95% CIs. Specifically, the probability of new or additional carotid plaque was modeled as a function of covariates using a generalized linear model with log link and binomial error distribution. In cases in which the model failed to converge with the binomial error, we substituted Gaussian error and used robust standard error estimates, as others have done [12]. We chose relative risk regression because the odds ratio is an overestimate of the relative risk when the outcome is not rare (i.e. >10%), as is the case here.

3. Results

The mean age of MESA participants at baseline was 62 years and ~50% were women. Baseline age, sex, race/ethnicity, level of physical activity, level of education, systolic blood pressure, use of antihypertensive or lipid-lowering medications, diabetes mellitus, smoking status, BMI, total cholesterol, and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol differed by HGF tertile, typically with a higher burden of CVD risk factors per increasing HGF tertile. Total cholesterol did not differ by HGF tertile. One participant had the maximum carotid plaque score of 12 at baseline and was thus excluded from carotid plaque analyses because there was no chance for progression. Those who attended exam 5, and were thus included in analyses of new or additional carotid plaque, on average had a lower burden of CVD risk factors and lower levels of HGF at baseline than all participants (Table 1). Mean CAC and carotid plaque score increased by exam and HGF tertile (Figs. 1 and 2).

Table 1.

Baseline characteristics of participants according to tertiles of hepatocyte growth factor, Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis, 2000–2002.

Baseline characteristics (means or prevalences unless otherwise stated) All participants (n = 6695) Attended exams 1 and 5 (n = 3400)

Hepatocyte growth factor tertile Hepatocyte growth factor tertile

<810 pg/ml (n = 2231) 810–1011 pg/ml (n = 2232) >1011 pg/ml (n = 2232) <810 pg/ml (n = 1252) 810–1011 pg/ml (n = 1162) >1011 pg/ml (n = 986)
Range of hepatocyte growth factor, pg/mL 292–809 810–1011 1012–2152 343–808 809–1011 1012–2090

Hepatocyte growth factor ± SD 682 ± 93 906 ± 57 1227 ± 198 680 ± 93 905 ± 57 1201 ± 174
Age, years ± SD 59 ± 9 62 ± 10 65 ± 10 58 ± 9 61 ± 9 63 ± 10
Male, % 52 45 45 51 44 45
Race/ethnicity
 Non-Hispanic white American, % 43 37 36 43 36 37
 Chinese American, % 18 12 6 19 13 6
 African American, % 27 29 26 26 29 24
 Hispanic American, % 12 23 31 12 22 33
Total moderate and vigorous physical activity, MET-minutes/week ± SD 6231 ± 6086 5825 ± 6116 5222 ± 5425 6353 ± 5811 6068 ± 6409 5756 ± 5601
More than high school education, % 73 63 55 78 66 60
Systolic blood pressure, mmHg ± SD 122 ± 20 127 ± 21 131 ± 22 121 ± 19 125 ± 21 128 ± 21
Antihypertensive medication use, % 27 37 46 25 37 44
Diabetes, % 6 12 19 5 9 17
Current smoker, % 9 12 18 9 10 16
Body mass index, kg/m2 ± SD 27 ± 5 28 ± 5 30 ± 6 27 ± 5 28 ± 5 30 ± 5
Lipid-lowering medication use, % 14 16 19 13 17 20
Total cholesterol, mg/dL ± SD 194 ± 35 196 ± 36 192 ± 36 194 ± 34 197 ± 35 192 ± 36
High-density lipoprotein cholesterol, mg/dL ± SD 53 ± 16 51 ± 15 49 ± 14 53 ± 15 51 ± 15 49 ± 14

MET, metabolic equivalent task; SD, standard deviation.

Fig. 1.

Fig. 1

Mean coronary artery calcium by exam and HGF tertile.

Fig. 2.

Fig. 2

Mean carotid plaque score by exam and HGF tertile (analysis restricted to persons with carotid ultrasound data at both exams 1 and 5).

3.1. CAC progression

After adjustment for age, race/ethnicity, and sex, HGF was associated with CAC progression (difference in average annual progression per 1 SD higher baseline HGF 5.3; 95% CI: 4.0–6.6, p value < 0.0001) (Table 2). Adjustment for other potential confounding variables slightly attenuated the association between HGF and progression of atherosclerosis, but it remained statistically significant (difference in average annual progression 2.9; 95% CI: 1.6–4.2; p value <0.0001), and the magnitude of this association differed by race/ethnicity (p value for interaction by race 0.003). Each one SD higher HGF at baseline was significantly associated with 5.5 Agatston units/year greater CAC progression in African Americans (95% CI: 2.7–8.2; p value <0.0001) and 3.3 in non-Hispanic white Americans (95% CI: 1.2–5.4, p value 0.003), but not in in Chinese Americans (relative risk 1.9; 95% CI: −2.3–6.0; p value 0.4), or Hispanic Americans (relative risk 0.8; 95% CI: −1.4–3.1; p value 0.5).

Table 2.

Adjusted associations between one standard deviation increase in hepatocyte growth factor and coronary artery calcium progression (Agatston units/year), Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis, 2000–2012.

Statistical modela Difference in average annual progression (95% confidence interval) p value
All participants (n = 6695)
 Model 1 5.3 (4.0, 6.6) <0.0001
 Model 2 2.9 (1.6, 4.2) <0.0001
Non-Hispanic white Americans (n = 2587)
 Model 1 5.7 (3.7, 7.8) <0.0001
 Model 2 3.3 (1.2, 5.4) 0.003
Chinese Americans (n = 796)
 Model 1 4.6 (0.4, 8.7) 0.03
 Model 2 1.9 (−2.3, 6.0) 0.4
African Americans (n = 1837)
 Model 1 7.7 (5.0, 10.4) <0.0001
 Model 2 5.5 (2.7, 8.2) <0.0001
Hispanic Americans (n = 1475)
 Model 1 2.5 (0.2, 4.7) 0.03
 Model 2 0.8 (−1.4, 3.1) 0.5
a

Mixed effects models with outcome coronary artery calcium progression (Agatston units/year) and predictor one standard deviation (259 pg/ml) increase of hepatocyte growth factor.

Model 1 - Adjusted for age at exam 1, race/ethnicity, and sex.

Model 2 - Adjusted for Model 1 plus baseline values of body mass index, smoking status, diabetes mellitus, systolic blood pressure, antihypertensive medication use, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, total cholesterol, lipid medication use, level of education, and physical activity.

3.2. New or additional carotid plaque

After adjustment for age, race/ethnicity, and sex, each one SD higher HGF at baseline is associated with a 7% higher risk of new or additional carotid plaque (95% CI: 1.04–1.09; p value <0.0001) (Table 3). Adjustment for other potential confounding variables slightly attenuated the association between HGF and risk of new or additional plaque, but it remained statistically significant (relative risk 1.04; 95% CI: 1.01–1.08; p value 0.005), and this association did not differ by race/ethnicity (p value for interaction by race 0.3).

Table 3.

Adjusted relative risks for new or additional carotid plaque per one standard deviation increase in hepatocyte growth factor, Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis, 2000–2012.

Statistical modela N with new or additional carotid plaque/total N in model Relative risk (95% confidence interval) p value
All participants
 Model 1 1900/3400 1.07 (1.04, 1.09) <0.0001
 Model 2 1.04 (1.01, 1.08) 0.005
Non-Hispanic white Americans
 Model 1 794/1335 1.05 (1.02, 1.09) 0.003
 Model 2 1.04 (0.99, 1.09) 0.1
Chinese Americans
 Model 1 219/438 1.03 (0.93, 1.13) 0.6
 Model 2 1.03 (0.92, 1.14) 0.6
African Americans
 Model 1 485/893 1.05 (0.98, 1.12) 0.1
 Model 2 1.02 (0.95, 1.09) 0.6
Hispanic Americans
 Model 1 402/734 1.09 (1.05, 1.13) <0.0001
 Model 2 1.09 (1.04, 1.15) 0.001
a

Relative risk regression with outcome new or additional carotid plaque and predictor one standard deviation (259 pg/ml) increase of hepatocyte growth factor.

Model 1 - Adjusted for age, race/ethnicity, and sex.

Model 2 - Adjusted for Model 1 plus baseline values of body mass index, smoking status, diabetes mellitus, systolic blood pressure, antihypertensive medication use, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, total cholesterol, lipid medication use, time elapsed between visits 1 and 5, level of education, and physical activity.

4. Discussion

Our primary finding is that HGF was positively associated with progression of atherosclerosis – measured as CAC progression and new or additional plaque – in this large and diverse population. As far as we are aware, the current study is the first study to examine the association between HGF and progression of atherosclerosis, although mechanistic in vitro studies show the connection between HGF and CVD and support our epidemiological findings [13,14]. The association between HGF and CAC progression differed by race/ethnicity, whereas the association between HGF and risk of new or additional plaque did not.

The positive association between HGF and CAC progression has clinical implications. Take for instance, our finding that each SD increase in HGF at baseline was associated with 5.5 Agatston units greater CAC progression per year. Previous research found that a 5 unit annual change in CAC was associated with a 50% higher risk of coronary heart disease among those without CAC at baseline, and a 30% higher risk among those with CAC at baseline [15].

Reasons for racial/ethnic heterogeneity in the relationship between HGF and CAC progression remain unclear. Our team found similar racial/ethnic heterogeneity (i.e. stronger associations in non-Hispanic white Americans and African Americans than other races/ethnicities) in associations between HGF and coronary heart disease, and HGF and a single measurement of atherosclerosis [2]. Previous research has shown that the prevalence of CAC differs by race/ethnicity, with non-Hispanic white Americans typically having higher levels of CAC than other races/ethnicities [16]. A post-hoc analysis of the current study shows that non-Hispanic white Americans also had the highest rate of annual CAC progression (26.7 Agatston units per year) compared to Chinese Americans (19.0), African Americans (20.5), and Hispanic Americans (19.5), who all had similar rates of annual progression. While this study and others have found that CAC burden and progression differs by race/ethnicity, its predictive value for CVD does not [1620].

It is not surprising that the association between HGF and CAC progression differs by race/ethnicity, whereas the association between HGF and risk of new or additional plaque does not. Research findings regarding coronary and carotid atherosclerosis do not always align, with carotid atherosclerosis (e.g. new or additional plaque) often a better predictor of stroke, and coronary atherosclerosis (e.g. CAC progression) often a better predictor of coronary heart disease [2123]. It is also possible that the smaller sample size in our carotid plaque analyses precluded power to detect an interaction.

Higher baseline HGF was associated with a modest risk of new or additional carotid plaque, which was statistically significant but may not be clinically meaningful. Although it is known that one measure of carotid atherosclerosis predicts CVD events, there is not clear evidence that progression of carotid atherosclerosis predicts CVD events [24].

HGF has favorable effects in the heart and vasculature, which include anti-inflammatory, anti-fibrotic, and pro-angiogenic actions. HGF reduces inflammation by inducing IL-10 production and decreasing IL-8 and MCP-1 levels [1]. HGF inhibits fibrosis through neutralizing the powerful fibrotic properties of transforming growth factor β1 [2530]. HGF promotes angiogenesis, which is of primary importance in repairing damage from cardiovascular disease, through action on endothelial and smooth muscle cells [1,31,32]. Thus, in the context of the positive effects of HGF on the heart and vasculature, it is a marker of atherosclerosis, not a cause.

In contrast, HGF is also implicated as a promoter of atherosclerosis and calcification [1,33]. HGF can stimulate pathological vascular calcification of smooth muscle cells via c-Met/Akt/Notch3 signalling [13]. Also, HGF may help form new blood vessels during plaque development, which contributes to the progression of atherosclerosis [14].

In summary, HGF is likely positively associated with progression of atherosclerosis both because it might promote atherosclerosis, but also because it is released to repair and protect tissue in response to atherosclerosis. It is unclear how large a role the positive versus negative effect of HGF on the heart and vasculature plays in driving the association between HGF and progression of atherosclerosis.

A limitation of this study is the potential for selection bias. The carotid plaque analyses were limited to participants who returned for exam 5, which may be a biased sample. And, although participants with no follow-up contributed to baseline characterization in our CAC analyses, they do not contribute to the progression rate. On average, people who participated in MESA past the baseline exam had a lower burden of CVD risk factors and lower levels of HGF at baseline than all MESA participants. This selective attrition could have created a downward bias, meaning that it is possible that the true association between HGF and progression of atherosclerosis is stronger than we observed [34]. Finally, it is worth noting that we are measuring circulating rather than tissue-specific HGF. However, these two values are correlated [35].

Strengths of this study include the prospective design; the large, population-based multi-ethnic sample with a wide geographic distribution in the United States; and the highly standardized assessment of a broad array of CVD risk factors.

In conclusion, HGF was positively associated with progression of atherosclerosis – measured as CAC progression and new or additional carotid plaque – in this large and diverse population. Circulating HGF – which has previously been shown to be associated with risk of stroke, coronary heart disease, and atherosclerosis – continues to show promise as a potential clinical biomarker for CVD.

Highlights.

  • Hepatocyte growth factor was associated with progression of atherosclerosis.

  • This association differed by race/ethnicity in some instances.

  • Hepatocyte growth factor shows promise as a biomarker for cardiovascular disease.

Acknowledgments

Financial support

Dr. Bell is supported by the NIH T32 Training Grant HL07111-40. This study was supported by the National Institutes of Health (NIH; grant numbers N01 HC95159, N01 HC95160, N01 HC95161, N01 HC95162, N01 HC95163, N01 HC95164, N01 HC95165, N01 HC95166, N01 HC95167, and N01 HC95168); National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (NHLBI) at NIH (grant number N01 HC95169); and National Center for Research Resources at NIH (grant numbers UL1 TR000040 and UL1 TR001079). Funding for adhesion protein levels was provided by the NHLBI at NIH (grant number R01 HL98077).

Role of the funding source: The funding source had no involvement in the study design, collection, analysis or interpretation of data, in the writing of the report or in the decision to submit the manuscript for publication.

We thank the other investigators, the staff, and the participants of the MESA study for their valuable contributions. A full list of participating MESA investigators and institutions can be found at http://www.mesa-nhlbi.org. MESA is conducted and supported by the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (NHLBI) in collaboration with MESA investigators.

Footnotes

Conflict of interest

Dr. Matthew Budoff receives a grant from General Electric. Dr. Stein has a patent related to carotid thickness and arterial age, assigned to Wisconsin Alumni Research Foundation (WARF) and receives royalties. The other authors have nothing to disclose.

Author contributions

Study design: EJB, SJB. Data collection: MYT, NQH, MB, JFP JHS, SJB. Data analysis: EJB, PAD, NBL, MB, JFP, JHS, SJB. Outcome adjudication: MB, JFP, JHS. Manuscript draft: All authors contributed, read and approved the final manuscript.

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