Table 1.
Impact on GDP for each scenario modelled
| Cost (US$ per capita) | Cost (US$ per capita) | Cost (US$ per capita) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Disease‐only scenarios Low CAR and low CFR | −1·22 | −0·27 | −3·04 |
| Disease‐only scenarios Mod CAR low CFR | −3·49 | −0·76 | −8·75 |
| Disease‐only scenarios High CAR and Low CFR | −6·64 | −1·46 | −16·66 |
| Disease‐only scenarios Low CAR and Mod CFR | −1·53 | −0·34 | −3·83 |
| Disease‐only scenarios Mod CAR and Mod CFR | −4·38 | −0·96 | −11·00 |
| Disease‐only scenarios High CAR and ModCFR | −8·35 | −1·83 | −20·92 |
| Disease‐only scenarios Low CAR and High CFR | −1·91 | −0·42 | −4·79 |
| Disease‐only scenarios Mod CAR and High CFR | −5·46 | −1·20 | −13·72 |
| Disease‐only scenarios High CAR and High CFR | −10·40 | −2·28 | −26·09 |
| School Closure 1 week Low CAR and low CFR | −8·15 | −1·79 | −20·44 |
| School Closure 1 week Med CAR low CFR | −10·32 | −2·26 | −25·89 |
| School Closure 1 week High CAR and Low CFR | −13·34 | −2·92 | −33·42 |
| School Closure 1 week Low CAR and Moderate CFR | −8·45 | −1·85 | −21·20 |
| School Closure 1 week Med CAR and Moderate CFR | −11·18 | −2·45 | −28·02 |
| School Closure 1 week High CAR and Moderate CFR | −14·97 | −3·27 | −37·50 |
| School Closure 1 week Low CAR and High CFR | −8·81 | −1·93 | −22·11 |
| School Closure 1 week Med CAR and High CFR | −12·21 | −2·67 | −30·60 |
| School Closure 1 week High CAR and High CFR | −16·94 | −3·71 | −42·42 |
| AVs Low CAR and low CFR | −8·15 | −1·79 | −20·44 |
| AVs Mod CAR low CFR | −10·32 | −2·26 | −25·89 |
| AVs High CAR and Low CFR | −13·34 | −2·92 | −33·42 |
| AVs Low CAR and Mod CFR | −8·45 | −1·85 | −21·20 |
| AVs Mod CAR and Mod CFR | −11·17 | −2·45 | −28·02 |
| AVs High CAR and Mod CFR | −14·95 | −3·27 | −37·45 |
| AVs Low CAR and High CFR | −8·78 | −1·92 | −22·03 |
| AVs Mod CAR and High CFR | −12·13 | −2·65 | −30·40 |
| AVs High CAR and High CFR | −16·77 | −3·67 | −42·01 |
| Matched 75%, 60% coverage Low CAR and low CFR | −7·10 | −1·56 | −17·83 |
| Matched 75%, 60% coverage Mod CAR low CFR | −7·32 | −1·60 | −18·36 |
| Matched 75%, 60% coverage High CAR and Low CFR | −7·62 | −1·67 | −19·12 |
| Matched 75%, 60% coverage Low CAR and Mod CFR | −7·13 | −1·56 | −17·90 |
| Matched 75%, 60% coverage Mod CAR and Mod CFR | −7·40 | −1·62 | −18·56 |
| Matched 75%, 60% coverage High CAR and Mod CFR | −7·78 | −1·70 | −19·50 |
| Matched 75%, 60% coverage Low CAR and High CFR | −7·16 | −1·57 | −17·95 |
| Matched 75%, 60% coverage Mod CAR and High CFR | −7·49 | −1·64 | −18·79 |
| Matched 75%, 60% coverage High CAR and High CFR | −7·94 | −1·74 | −19·90 |
| Matched 75%, 100% coverage Low CAR and low CFR | −6·40 | −1·40 | −16·08 |
| Matched 75%, 100% coverage Mod CAR low CFR | −5·32 | −1·17 | −13·36 |
| Matched 75%, 100% coverage High CAR and Low CFR | −3·83 | −0·84 | −9·61 |
| Matched 75%, 100% coverage Low CAR and Mod CFR | −6·26 | −1·37 | −15·70 |
| Matched 75%, 100% coverage Mod CAR and Mod CFR | −4·91 | −1·08 | −12·32 |
| Matched 75%, 100% coverage High CAR and Mod CFR | −3·05 | −0·67 | −7·66 |
| Matched 75%, 100% coverage Low CAR and High CFR | −6·13 | −1·34 | −15·39 |
| Matched 75%, 100% coverage Mod CAR and High CFR | −4·55 | −1·00 | −11·41 |
| Matched 75%, 100% coverage High CAR and High CFR | −2·36 | −0·52 | −5·91 |