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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2019 May 1.
Published in final edited form as: Ann Epidemiol. 2017 Dec 21;28(5):273–280. doi: 10.1016/j.annepidem.2017.12.005

Table 2.

Estimates of excess mortality rate per 10,000 population and rate ratio (RR) attributable to pandemic influenza, by time of pandemic wave, age and cause of death, Arizona, 1918–1921

Time, Cause of death Excess death rate per 10,000 population, by age (RR) Excess deaths by total population (RR)
<5 5–14 15–24 25–44 45–64 ≥65
P&I deaths
Spring 1918 (April, 1918) 1.80 (1.46) 0.24 (2.03) 1.68 (2.78) 3.31 (4.18) 0.76 (1.43) 1.48 (1.68) 1.78 (2.32)
Fall 1918 (Oct to Dec, 1918) 66.52 (6.68) 19.51 (16.37) 66.28 (22.30) 93.91 (26.12) 30.98 (5.88) 39.49 (2.47) 60.85 (13.13)
Winter 1919 (Jan to April, 1919) 11.95 (1.70) 3.08 (2.98) 12.56 (3.46) 23.93 (5.28) 6.71 (1.75) 7.55 (1.86) 12.79 (2.63)
Winter 1920 (1st Feb to 11th April, 1920) 16.51 (2.21) 1.80 (3.15) 2.91 (1.97) 11.33 (4.60) 3.28 (1.69) 12.79 (1.62) 7.42 (2.58)
Total pandemic period 96.78 (3.10) 24.63 (7.31) 83.43 (7.86) 132.48 (10.80) 41.73 (2.91) 61.32 (2.05) 82.84 (5.38)
Respiratory deaths
Spring 1918 (April, 1918) 1.67 (1.20) 0.24 (1.58) 1.72 (2.58) 3.66 (3.83) 0.82 (1.40) 6.65 (2.23) 2.02 (1.96)
Fall 1918 (Oct to Dec, 1918) 71.56 (4.28) 20.58 (12.40) 69.18 (20.80) 95.01 (22.22) 32.63 (5.41) 34.43 (2.13) 62.56 (9.70)
Winter 1919 (Jan to April, 1919) 9.13 (1.25) 2.75 (2.17) 13.13 (3.14) 24.86 (4.67) 9.97 (1.87) 8.05 (1.62) 13.01 (2.09)
Winter 1920 (1st Feb to 11th April, 1920) 21.18 (1.80) 1.85 (2.36) 3.07 (1.82) 11.83 (4.06) 5.01 (1.81) 15.73 (1.60) 8.50 (2.14)
Total pandemic period 103.54 (2.11) 25.42 (5.29) 87.10 (7.03) 135.36 (9.25) 48.43 (2.78) 64.86 (1.86) 86.09 (3.99)
Tuberculosis
Spring 1918 (April, 1918) 0.08 (1.40) 0.07 (1.34) 1.17 (1.39) 1.09 (1.21) 0.59 (1.26) 2.94 (2.16) 0.73 (1.27)
Fall 1918 (Oct to Dec, 1918) 0.43 (1.79) 0.97 (5.54) 3.46 (1.47) 11.09 (1.84) 3.31 (1.38) 6.60 (1.70) 4.99 (1.65)
Winter 1919 (Jan to April, 1919) 0.73 (1.65) 0.59 (4.90) 2.25 (1.25) 3.81 (1.27) 1.83 (1.29) 7.60 (1.83) 1.94 (1.24)
Winter 1920 (1st Feb to 11th April, 1920) 1.02 (1.99) 0.43 (4.05) 4.19 (1.54) 1.16 (1.13) 1.44 (1.42) 4.30 (2.59) 0.98 (1.14)
Total pandemic period 2.26 (1.78) 2.06 (3.95) 11.07 (1.41) 17.15 (1.41) 7.16 (1.34) 21.44 (1.90) 8.64 (1.33)
All cause
Spring 1918 (April, 1918) 4.74 (1.13) 0.98 (1.46) 2.30 (1.31) 3.86 (1.37) 4.62 (1.34) 14.04 (1.33) 3.54 (1.29)
Fall 1918 (Oct to Dec, 1918) 62.01 (1.77) 21.33 (4.29) 68.64 (4.39) 100.39 (4.32) 35.78 (1.75) 32.45 (1.34) 63.41 (2.72)
Winter 1919 (Jan to April, 1919) 4.75 (1.07) 3.28 (1.64) 8.36 (1.37) 19.95 (1.45) 6.91 (1.15) 10.30 (1.15) 8.72 (1.17)
Winter 1920 (1st Feb to 11th April, 1920) 15.73 (1.23) 1.93 (1.59) 6.65 (1.33) 10.81 (1.36) 2.91 (1.09) 28.44 (1.23) 8.38 (1.24)
Total pandemic period 87.23 (1.34) 27.52 (2.62) 85.95 (2.22) 135.01 (2.18) 50.23 (1.35) 85.23 (1.26) 84.05 (1.63)