Skip to main content
. 2018 May 5;28(5):245–252. doi: 10.2188/jea.JE20160193

Table 2. Hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for pancreatic cancer risk according to category of BMI at baseline among males.

  Categories of BMI at baseline (kg/m2) Trend
(per 1 kg/m2)
Trend P Heterogeneity [P, I2 (%)]


<19 19 to <21 21 to <23 23 to <25 25 to <27 27 to <30 ≥30 For trend For the highest category
Number of subjects (N) 10,043 27,472 42,006 39,963 22,006 10,754 2,672        
Person-years (N) 111,259.9 345,620.1 544,890.7 532,025.8 295,509.3 145,176.7 34,168.7        
Number of cases (N) 70 183 234 199 95 50 18        
Crude rate (per 100,000) 62.9157 52.9483 42.9444 37.4042 32.1479 34.4408 52.6798        
HR (model 1) overall 1.24 (0.85–1.81) 1.26 (0.98–1.63) 1.08 (0.90–1.31) Reference 0.91 (0.71–1.17) 1.11 (0.81–1.53) 1.73 (1.04–2.87) 0.97 (0.94–1.01) 0.112 P = 0.065, 45.7 P = 0.890, 0
HR (model 2) overall 1.22 (0.85–1.77) 1.26 (0.98–1.63) 1.08 (0.89–1.31) Reference 0.91 (0.71–1.17) 1.12 (0.82–1.54) 1.71 (1.03–2.86) 0.97 (0.94–1.01) 0.113 P = 0.094, 41.0 P = 0.931, 0
HR (model 1) excluding
early cases
1.14 (0.73–1.79) 1.22 (0.92–1.62) 1.00 (0.81–1.22) Reference 0.87 (0.66–1.16) 1.00 (0.69–1.45) 1.66 (0.96–2.89) 0.97 (0.93–1.01) 0.106 P = 0.075, 44.0 P = 0.908, 0
HR (model 2) excluding
early cases
1.14 (0.73–1.78) 1.22 (0.92–1.62) 1.00 (0.82–1.23) Reference 0.87 (0.65–1.17) 1.01 (0.71–1.45) 1.65 (0.94–2.88) 0.97 (0.93–1.01) 0.090 P = 0.122, 37.1 P = 0.941, 0

BMI, body mass index.

Model 1 adjusted for age and area (within each study for JPHC and JACC). Model 2 adjusted for age, area, smoking (pack-years [PY] = 0, 0 < PY ≤ 20, >20, or unknown), drinking (never, <1 week/day, current <23 g/day, 23 to <46 g/day, 46 to <69 g/day, ≥69 g/day, or unknown), and history of diabetes (yes, no, or unknown). HRs values in bold show statistical significance.