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. 2017 Apr;96(4):380–387. doi: 10.1177/0022034517693566

Table 2.

Changes in Global Prevalence and DALYs between 1990 and 2015 Decomposed into Changes due to Population Growth, Aging, and Change in Disease Rates.

Percentage Change (95% UI), 1990 to 2015
Prevalence DALYs
Total percentage change
 Untreated caries in permanent teeth 44.96 (43.23 to 46.85) 40.62 (38.17 to 43)
 Untreated caries in deciduous teeth 3.2 (0.78 to 5.3) 2.08 (−0.46 to 4.45)
 Severe periodontitis 74.97 (72.72 to 77.33) 74.97 (72.68 to 77.35)
 Total tooth loss 75.77 (75.25 to 76.3) 75.67 (75.1 to 76.25)
 Other oral conditions 50.12 (48.85 to 51.33) 50.12 (48.85 to 51.33)
 All oral conditions 40.15 (39.31 to 40.96) 63.94 (62.06 to 65.75)
Percentage change due to population growth
 Untreated caries in permanent teeth 38.9 (38.55 to 39.24) 35.33 (33.75 to 36.92)
 Untreated caries in deciduous teeth 39.59 (38.63 to 40.65) 37.58 (36.13 to 39.03)
 Severe periodontitis 40.88 (40.12 to 41.86) 40.85 (40.08 to 41.84)
 Total tooth loss 33.37 (33.06 to 33.68) 33.38 (33.08 to 33.71)
 Other oral conditions 38.41 (38.24 to 38.59) 38.41 (38.24 to 38.59)
 All oral conditions 39.13 (38.97 to 39.28) 36.35 (35.69 to 37.11)
Percentage change due to population aging
 Untreated caries in permanent teeth 6.41 (4.74 to 8.18) 5.37 (3.82 to 7.14)
 Untreated caries in deciduous teeth −33.22 (−33.8 to −32.58) −32.85 (−33.43 to −32.22)
 Severe periodontitis 35.42 (33.48 to 37.55) 35.18 (33.22 to 37.38)
 Total tooth loss 43.18 (42.62 to 43.72) 42.83 (42.29 to 43.37)
 Other oral conditions 11.53 (10.33 to 12.68) 11.53 (10.33 to 12.68)
 All oral conditions 1.91 (1.46 to 2.38) 28.02 (25.87 to 30.09)
Percentage change due to change in disease rate
 Untreated caries in permanent teeth −0.4 (−1.01 to 0.31) −0.1 (−0.71 to 0.49)
 Untreated caries in deciduous teeth −3.2 (−4.49 to −1.66) −2.7 (−4.26 to −0.96)
 Severe periodontitis −1.3 (−1.97 to −0.7) −1.1 (−1.73 to −0.43)
 Total tooth loss −0.8 (−0.94 to −0.63) −0.5 (−0.8 to −0.29)
 Other oral conditions 0.2 (−0.19 to 0.57) 0.2 (−0.19 to 0.57)
 All oral conditions −0.9 (−1.52 to −0.25) −0.4 (−0.65 to −0.22)

DALY, disability-adjusted life year; UI, uncertainty interval.