Figure 2.
Model projections for (a) total population size, (b) chronic HCV prevalence in Pakistan from 1960 to 2030. The solid black line and shaded grey areas show the median and 95% credible intervals (95% CrI) for the model projections. For comparison, asterisks indicate available demographic or HCV prevalence data and the wedge-shaped region in Figure 2b indicates the permitted trend in HCV prevalence. Population data for Figure 2a come from the UN Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division, whereas HCV prevalence data for Figure 2b come from the 2007 national survey while reflecting the increasing HCV prevalence trend observed in studies from blood donors for 1994 to 2014.