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. 2018 Jan 3;47(2):550–560. doi: 10.1093/ije/dyx270

Figure 4.

Figure 4

Estimated number of annual treatments required to achieve the WHO HCV-elimination target for reducing HCV incidence by 80% and HCV-related mortality by 65% by 2030, for different treatment targeting and prevention interventions. The intervention scenarios consider three treatment intervention scenarios without (Intervention Scenarios A to C) or with HCV risk reduction interventions (Intervention Scenarios D to F). The treatment intervention scenarios considered were: (A) Non-targeted treatment; (B) Targeted treatment towards 80% of chronically infected people with cirrhosis each year; (C to F) Targeted treatment towards 80% of cirrhosis cases and treating PWID at twice the rate of non-PWID. Three HCV risk reduction interventions were considered: (D) Halve HCV transmission risk due to injecting drug use; (E) Halve HCV transmission risk due to injecting drug use and high medical and community risk factors and, lastly, (F) Halve transmission risk amongst PWID as well as amongst those with low and high community and medical risk. Whiskers denote the 95% credibility intervals around all projections.