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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2018 Apr 24.
Published in final edited form as: S Afr Med J. 2017 Sep 22;107(10):871–876. doi: 10.7196/SAMJ.2017.v107i10.12362

Table 4.

Predictors of Mortality and Loss-to-follow-up

Univariable Analysis Multivariable Complete Case Analysis Multivariable Imputed Model

HR (95 % CI) HR (95 % CI) HR (95 % CI)
Gender
Male 1 1 1
Female 0.98 (0.70 – 1.36) 0.70 (0.43 – 1.13) 0.76 (0.53 – 1.10)

Age 0.99 (0.97 – 1.00) 0.99 (0.96 – 1.01) 0.98 (0.96 – 1.00)

ART period
Early (2004 – 2008) 1 1 1
Late (2009–2012) 0.45 (0.32 – 0.64) 0.39 (0.24 – 0.64) 0.40 (0.28 – 0.58)

Baseline CD4 count (cells/μl)
<100 1 1 1
100 – 199 0.78 (0.47 – 1.30) 0.70 (0.34 – 1.42) 0.74 (0.42 – 1.30)
200 – 349 0.81 (0.50 – 1.32) 1.02 (0.50 – 2.09) 0.93 (0.53 – 1.63)
350 – 500 0.62 (0.36 – 1.06) 0.97 (0.45 – 2.10) 1.09 (0.57 – 2.08)
≥500 0.51 (0.27 – 0.97) 0.73 (0.31 – 1.72) 0.78 (0.39 – 1.54)

ACTG KS stage
Good risk 1 1 1
Poor risk 2.37 (1.46 – 3.83) 2.71 (1.53 – 4.79) 1.89 (1.19 – 3.03)

TB Co-morbidity
No TB 1 1 1
TB 1.46 (1.02 – 2.09) 1.26 (0.75 – 2.11) 1.22 (0.83 – 1.81)

ART use
Not on ART at KS diagnosis 1 1 1
On ART at KS diagnosis 0.96 (0.69 – 1.34) 1.09 (0.68 – 1.75) 1.20 (0.84 – 1.72)

Chemotherapy
No 1 1 1
Yes 0.33 (0.24 – 0.47) 0.39 (0.23 – 0.67) 0.35 (0.23 – 0.52)

Radiation Therapy
No 1 1 1
Yes 0.64 (0.47 – 0.89) 0.91 (0.57 – 1.46) 0.64 (0.46 – 0.90)

Haemoglobin 0.86 (0.80 – 0.92) 0.92 (0.83 – 1.02) 0.93 (0.86 – 1.01)

Abbreviations: ACTG: AIDS Clinical Trials Group; ART: antiretroviral therapy; CI: confidence interval; HR: hazard ratio; KS: Kaposi sarcoma; TB: tuberculosis