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. 2018 Apr 20;3(2):e000572. doi: 10.1136/bmjgh-2017-000572

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Projected case number, prevalence and incidence of cirrhosis and HCC in both scenarios. The simulated number of cirrhosis cases (A) and HCC cases (B), the prevalence of cirrhosis (C) and HCC (D), as well as the incidence of cirrhosis (E) and HCC (F). For the new scenario with the new treatment programme using sofosbuvir-related therapies, high (97.5%) and low (92.5%) overall treatment success rates were assumed in order to evaluate uncertainty in the efficacy of this treatment protocol.