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. 2018 Apr 10;68(670):e301–e310. doi: 10.3399/bjgp18X695777

Table 2.

Association between symptoms and new abdominal cancer for patients diagnosed with new abdominal cancer within 180 days after consultation, N = 61 337a

Patients with cancer Measures of association Diagnostic probability (PPV)
All n = 175 Male n= 95 Female n= 80 No cancer n= 61 162 All LR 95% CI Male LR Female LR All sensitivity 95% CI All specificity All PPV, % 95% CI Male PPV, % Female PPV, % ≤54 years PPV, % 55–74 years PPV, % ≥75 years PPV, %
Abdominal symptoms
Abdominal pain, upper part 31 15 16 2046 5.3 3.8 to 7.4 5.2 5.7 17.7 12.4 to 24.2 96.7 1.5 1.0 to 2.1 2.0 1.2 0.8 1.7 3.8
Abdominal pain, lower part 20 8 12 2084 3.4 2.2 to 5.1 3.1 3.9 11.4 7.1 to 17.1 96.6 1.0 0.6 to 1.5 1.2 0.8 0.3 1.4 2.3
Constipation 16 6 10 676 8.2 5.1 to 13.2 7.2 10.0 9.1 5.3 to 14.4 98.9 2.3 1.3 to 3.7 2.8 2.1 1.0 3.0 3.8
Diarrhoea 8 3 5 1103 2.5 1.3 to 5.0 1.7 3.5 4.6 2.0 to 8.8 98.2 0.7 0.3 to 1.4 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.3 1.7
Distended abdomen, bloating 17 8 9 1011 5.9 3.7 to 9.3 5.7 6.4 9.7 5.8 to 15.1 98.3 1.7 1.0 to 2.6 2.2 1.3 1.3 1.2 3.9
Increased belching, flatulence 9 5 4 489 6.4 3.4 to 12.2 7.1 6.0 5.1 2.4 to 9.5 99.2 1.8 0.8 to 3.4 2.8 1.3 2.4 1.1 1.4
Acid regurgitation 10 5 5 669 5.2 2.9 to 9.6 5.3 5.4 5.7 2.8 to 10.3 98.9 1.5 0.7 to 2.7 2.1 1.1 0.9 2.6 1.1
Rectal bleeding 15 4 11 385 13.6 8.3 to 22.3 6.8 21.6 8.6 4.9 to 13.7 99.4 3.8 2.1 to 6.0 2.7 4.4 2.1 4.5 6.8
Unexpected genital bleeding 3 0 3 195 5.4 1.7 to 16.7 7.7 1.7 0.4 to 4.9 99.7 1.5 0.3 to 4.4 1.6 8.1
Macroscopic haematuria 6 4 2 141 15.7 6.8 to 34.5 13.1 14.4 3.4 1.3 to 7.3 99.8 4.1 1.5 to 8.7 5.0 3.0 5.2 7.9
Increased urinary frequency 10 6 4 732 4.8 2.6 to 8.8 6.2 3.8 5.8 2.8 to 10.3 98.8 1.3 0.6 to 2.5 2.4 0.8 1.6 3.3
Other abdominal problems 18 9 9 1116 5.6 3.6 to 8.8 5.7 5.8 10.3 6.2 to 15.8 98.2 1.6 0.9 to 2.5 2.2 1.2 0.3 2.0 4.4
1 abdominal symptom only 37 14 23 3354
>1 abdominal symptom 39 19 20 2748 5 3.8 to 6.6 5.2 5.1 22.3 16.4 to 29.2 95.5 1.4 1.0 to 1.9 2.0 1.1 0.6 1.9 3.1
At least 1 abdominal symptom 76 33 43 6102 4.4 3.7 to 5.2 3.9 5.1 43.4 36.0 to 51.1 90.0 1.2 1.0 to 1.5 1.5 1.1 0.3 1.6 3.2
No symptom 99 62 37 55060
Non-specific symptoms when at least one abdominal symptom has been recorded
Lack of appetite 18 6 12 853 7.4 4.7 to 11.5 4.8 10.4 10.3 6.2 to 15.8 98.6 2.1 1.2 to 3.2 1.9 2.2 0.9 2.9 3.7
Unusual tiredness 17 5 12 812 7.3 4.6 to 11.6 4.9 10.1 9.7 5.8 to 15.1 98.7 2.1 1.2 to 3.3 1.9 2.1 1.1 1.6 4.6
Involuntary weight loss 11 5 6 304 12.7 7.1 to 22.7 10.9 14.8 6.3 3.2 to 11.0 99.5 3.5 1.8 to 6.2 4.2 3.1 2.0 0.9 7.8
>1 non-specific symptom 13 4 9 381 11.6 6.8 to 19.7 7.4 17.1 7.4 4.0 to 12.4 99.4 3.3 1.8 to 5.6 2.9 3.5 2.0 1.7 6.6
Any non-specific symptom 29 10 19 1500 6.8 4.8 to 9.5 4.9 9.0 16.6 11.4 to 22.9 97.5 1.9 1.3 to 2.7 1.9 1.9 0.7 2.2 4.2
a

Excluded from analyses in Tables 24 were: the remaining 336 patients with cancer in Table 1, and the 129 patients reported by GPs to have cancer but excluded as cancer patients for reasons given in Figure 1. LR = likelihood ratio. PPV = positive predictive value.