Table 8.
Average fluctuation of CD4 cell count and Hazard Ratio estimates for final selected joint models
| parameter | Parameter estimate | Hazard Ratio (HR) estimate. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average fluctuation | 95% Credible interval | HR | 95% Credible intervals | |
| Intercept | −4.350 | (−7.435, −2.856) | 0.1295 | (0.082, 0.454) |
| Age | −0.006 | (−0.003, −0.019) | 0.0362 | (0.009, 0.052) |
| Weight | 0.001 | (−0.008, 0.002) | 0.0056 | (0.001,0.008) |
| Baseline CD4 count | 0.004 | (0.001, 0.025) | 0.0015 | (0.001,0.002) |
| Marital Status (Reference = without partner) | ||||
| With partner | 0.007 | (0.003, 0.009) | 0.005 | (0.003, 0.008) |
| Sex (Reference = male) | ||||
| Female | 0.034 | (0.004,0.067) | 0.023 | (0.003,0.075) |
| Ownership of cell phone (Reference = With phone) | ||||
| Without cell phone | −0.006 | (−0.004, − 0.024) | 0.007 | (0.004, 0.009) |
| Level of adherence (Reference = Good adherence) | ||||
| Poor adherence | −0.523 | (− 0.644, − 0.235) | 0.483 | (0.002, 0.621) |
| Fair adherence | −0.452 | (− 0.671, − 0.253) | 0.552 | (0.092,0.831) |
| Level of disclosure of the disease (Reference = yes) | ||||
| No | −0.002 | (− 0.073, − 0.001) | 0.1020 | (0.003,0.324) |
| WHO stages (Reference = Stage IV) | ||||
| Stage I | 0.151 | (− 0.002, 0.246) | 0.2511 | (0.081, 0.452) |
| Stage II | 0.157 | (0.032, 0.224) | 0.1567 | (0.092, 0.421) |
| Stage III | 0.138 | (−0.231, 0.231) | 0.4381 | (0.231, 0.643) |
| Time | 0.021 | (0.001, 0.064) | 0.1209 | (0.091, 0.241) |
| τ1 | −2.965 | (−4.547, −1.234) | 0.0341 | (0.010, 0.067) |
| τ3 | 0.653 | (0.254, 0.923) | 1.7342 | (1.234, 1.966) |