Table 2.

Prior and posterior distributions of parameters for refined models of (a) ‘European bottleneck’ and (b) ‘European and Polynesian bottlenecks’. Timing of events corresponds to number of generations and assumes a kākāpō generation time of 25 years [46].

(a)	Parameters	Prior	Posterior Mode	5% HPD	95% HPD
	Ne-modern	Uniform (1–200)	17.6	7.65	96.5
	Ne-pre-European	Uniform (5 × 103–6 × 105)	5.67 × 105	1.80 × 105	5.86 × 105
	Ne-pre-glaciation	Uniform (103–3 × 105)	3.90 × 103	2.61 × 103	5.75 × 104
	t-bottleneck-Eu	Uniform (1–10)	4.47	2.44	5.56
	t-post-glaciation	Uniform (300–600)	600	354	600
	μ rate	Uniform (10−8–10−7)	1 × 10−7	6.45 × 10−8	1 × 10−7
(b)
	Ne-modern	Uniform (1–200)	16.8	6.38	88.6
	Ne-pre-human	Uniform (5 × 103–6 × 105)	5.76 × 105	2.28 × 105	5.90 × 105
	Ne-pre-European	Uniform (5 × 103–6 × 105)	2.66 × 105	4.62 × 104	5.17 × 105
	Ne-pre-glaciation	Uniform (103–3 × 105)	5.91 × 103	2.87 × 103	6.22 × 104
	t-bottleneck-Pol	Uniform (20–30)	20.1	20	30
	t-bottleneck-Eu	Uniform (1–10)	4.24	2.32	5.42
	t-post-glaciation	Uniform (300–600)	600	345	594
	μ rate	Uniform (10−8–10−7)	1 × 10−7	6.25 × 10−8	1 × 10−7

Conditions: (a) N_{e-pre-European} > N_{e-pre-glaciation}; (b): N_e-pre-human > N_{e-pre-glaciation}; N_e-pre-human > N_{e-pre-European}.