TABLE 3.
Baseline Predictors | #Events/Group n | Crude 3-year Event Rate (95% Confidence Interval) | Adjusted Hazard Ratio (95% Confidence Interval) | Main Effect p value | Interaction with Age p value | Interaction with Maximum Aortic Root z score p value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AORTIC ROOT | ||||||
| ||||||
Elastic Modulus | ||||||
>618 vs. ≤618 mm Hg (median) | 22/299 vs. 7/299 | 7.6% (5.1 to 11.4) vs. 2.4% (1.1 to 5.0) | 2.61 (1.01, 6.76) | 0.05 | 0.77 | 0.04† |
>914 vs. ≤914 mm Hg (75th percentile) | 15/150 vs. 14/448 | 10.4% (6.4 to 16.7) vs. 3.2% (1.9 to 5.4) | 2.17 (1.02, 4.63) | 0.04 | 0.96 | 0.12 |
Heart Rate-Adjusted* Stiffness Index | ||||||
>9.1 vs. ≤9.1 (median) | 20/310 vs. 8/285 | 6.6% (4.3 to 10.0) vs. 2.9% (1.5 to 5.7) | 2.29 (0.95, 5.52) | 0.07 | 0.70 | 0.03§ |
>13.7 vs. ≤13.7 (75th percentile) | 10/149 vs. 18/446 | 6.9% (3.8 to 12.5) vs. 4.2% (2.6 to 6.5) | 1.40 (0.64, 3.07) | 0.40 | 0.31 | 0.48 |
| ||||||
ASCENDING AORTA | ||||||
| ||||||
Elastic Modulus | ||||||
>318 vs. ≤318 mm Hg (median) | 17/246 vs. 4/246 | 7.2% (4.5 to 11.2) vs. 1.7% (0.6 to 4.4) | 1.97 (0.62, 6.28) | 0.25 | 0.53 | 0.72 |
>447 vs. ≤447 mm Hg (75th percentile) | 9/123 vs. 12/369 | 7.5% (4.0 to 13.9) vs. 3.4% (1.9 to 5.8) | 2.40 (0.92, 6.28) | 0.08 | 0.20 | 0.20 |
Heart Rate-Adjusted* Stiffness Index | ||||||
>4.7 vs. ≤4.7 (median) | 14/239 vs. 6/251 | 6.0% (3.6 to 9.9) vs. 2.5% (1.1 to 5.4) | 1.61 (0.60, 4.33) | 0.34 | 0.98 | 0.46 |
>6.6 vs. ≤6.6 (75th percentile) | 8/124 vs. 12/366 | 6.6% (3.3 to 12.7) vs. 3.4% (1.9 to 5.9) | 2.28 (0.88, 5.89) | 0.09 | 0.27 | 0.05 |
Composite Outcome: Aortic-Root Surgery, Dissection, Death
divided by the square root of R-R interval
Interaction p=0.04: Adjusted Hazard Ratios vary with maximum aortic root z score (Max ARz), Hazard Ratio=0.93 at MaxARz=3.0; Hazard Ratio=1.50 at Max ARz=4.5; Hazard Ratio=2.43 at Max ARz=6.0
Interaction p=0.03: Adjusted Hazard Ratios vary with Max ARz, Hazard Ratio=0.81 at MaxARz=3.0; Hazard Ratio=1.38 at Max ARz=4.5; Hazard Ratio=2.35 at Max ARz=6.0