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. 2017 Nov 3;110(4):329–340. doi: 10.1093/jnci/djx231

Table 2.

Future of predictive tumor biomarkers in curative radiation oncology*

Biological parameter Examples of candidate biomarkers Association with radioresistance or radiosensitivity Potential intervention(s) Current clinical status
Number of clonogenic tumor cells or CSCs Cell surface markers such as CD44 Higher baseline number of clonogenic cells or CSCs correlates with radioresistance Higher radiation dose or radiosensitizer for high CSC content Tumor volume is a surrogate for CSC number and influences RT dosing in clinical practice
Accelerated tumor cell repopulation EGFR expression Accelerated repopulation of clonogenic tumor cells during RT causes radioresistance Shortening of overall treatment time limits number of clonogenic cells that need to be sterilized by RT HNSCC histology used as surrogate in clinical practice to guide accelerated fractionation schemes
Tumor sensitivity to RT fraction size No candidate markers currently exist to predict α/β of individual tumors Some tumor types are associated with high sensitivity to RT fraction size (low α/β of < 10 Gy) Hypofractionation (>2 Gy daily fraction size) Breast or prostate histology used as surrogate in clinical practice to guide hypo-fractionation schedules
Tumor hypoxia
  • PET/MRI-based imaging markers

  • Gene expression signatures

Tumor hypoxia reduces radiation damage to DNA, thereby increasing radioresistance Combination of RT with hypoxic radio-sensitizer or dose increase to hypoxic tumor regions Not yet used in clinical practice
HPV status HPV16 DNA or p16 expression HPV infection causes radiosensitivity, likely through interfering with DNA repair Treatment de-intensification De-intensified treatment to reduce toxicity in HPV+ HNSCC in clinical trials
Intrinsic radiosensitivity DSB repair gene mutations, gene expression signatures, repair foci (eg, γ-H2AX), ctDNA response Variation in ability of tumor cells to cope with radiation damage may cause radiosensitivity or radioresistance Treatment de-intensification or intensification, respectively Not yet used in clinical practice
Tumor genotype Mutations in oncogenes such as KRAS, BRAF, EGFR, etc. Tumor mutation status may correlate with radiosensitivity or radioresistance Treatment de-intensification or intensification, respectively Not yet used in clinical practice
*

CSC = cancer stem cells; ctDNA = circulating tumor DNA; DSB = double-strand break; HNSCC = head and neck squamous cell carcinoma; HPV = human papilloma virus; RT = radiation therapy.