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. 2017 Dec 19;24(1):45–53. doi: 10.1093/ibd/izx007

Table 3.

Misclassification Table for the Models: Testing Cohort

Clinical Outcome Visits With Event (%) Nonevent Visits (%)
Prediction Model Cutoff Predicted Event Predicted Nonevent Predicted Event Predicted Nonevent Brier Score
Logistic regression 0.111 5043 (64.1) 2830 (35.9) 35,259 (36.0) 62,586 (64.0) 0.36
Longitudinal random forest 0.143 5814 (73.8) 2059 (26.2) 17,395 (17.8) 80,450 (82.2) 0.18
Longitudinal random forest with previous events 0.143 6275 (79.7) 1598 (20.3) 19,555 (20.0) 78,290 (80.0) 0.20