Table 3.
Clinical Outcome | Visits With Event (%) | Nonevent Visits (%) | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Model | Cutoff | Predicted Event | Predicted Nonevent | Predicted Event | Predicted Nonevent | Brier Score |
Logistic regression | 0.111 | 5043 (64.1) | 2830 (35.9) | 35,259 (36.0) | 62,586 (64.0) | 0.36 |
Longitudinal random forest | 0.143 | 5814 (73.8) | 2059 (26.2) | 17,395 (17.8) | 80,450 (82.2) | 0.18 |
Longitudinal random forest with previous events | 0.143 | 6275 (79.7) | 1598 (20.3) | 19,555 (20.0) | 78,290 (80.0) | 0.20 |