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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2019 May 1.
Published in final edited form as: JACC Heart Fail. 2018 Mar 7;6(5):401–409. doi: 10.1016/j.jchf.2017.12.006

Table 1.

Lifetime risk of seven diseases, and gain in population-wide life expectancy from eliminating each one (95% confidence intervals in parentheses)

Disease/Condition for Intervention* Lifetime Risk/Percentage of Population Affected LE gain for the entire population LE gain for the sub-population affected by the intervention
Cancer 39.2% (38.8 – 39.6) 1.09 (1.08 – 1.10) 2.75 (2.71 – 2.79)
CHF 36.2% (35.9 – 36.4) 0.70 (0.69 – 0.71) 1.92 (1.91 – 1.93)
Diabetes 57.4% (56.8 – 58.0) 1.13 (1.11 – 1.15) 1.96 (1.93 – 2.00)
High Blood Pressure 89.0% (88.8 – 89.3) 0.64 (0.63 – 0.65) 0.72 (0.70 – 0.73)
Lung Disease 27.8% (27.4 – 28.3) 0.74 (0.73 – 0.75) 2.63 (2.57 – 2.68)
Obesity 42.1% (40.9 – 43.2) 0.59 (0.56 – 0.61) 1.39 (1.34 – 1.44)
Stroke 37.5% (37.3 – 37.7) 0.51 (0.51 – 0.52) 1.36 (1.35 – 1.37)
*

The intervention eliminates the disease or condition

Entire population refers to the cohort of 51-52 year old in the year 2016 Source: The Future Elderly Model Simulation