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. 2017 Oct 19;63(4):537–546. doi: 10.1007/s00038-017-1041-y

Table 2.

Summary of reductions from the baseline for each scenario (NSW, Australia; simulated from 2017 to 2021)

Incidence of acute harms % reduction Margin of error % Emergency department presentation % reduction Margin of error % Hospitalisations % reduction Margin of error %
Scenario 1 19.5 ± 2.9 18.5 ± 2.5 15.7 ± 2.1
Scenario 2 12.3 ± 2.4 11.9 ± 2.1 10.6 ± 1.8
Scenario 3 9.0 ± 2.9 10.8 ± 2.6 12.8 ± 2.3
Scenario 4 33.3 ± 2.7 36.6 ± 2.7 37.2 ± 2.6

All results are calculated for a 95% confidence interval

Values are based on a simulated population of approximately 3.6 million