Table 3.
Parameters of the best model for the probability of reporting a first case of ZIKV in municipality i at week t
| Coefficient | Estimate | SE | t-value | P-value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Intercept | -12.00 | 0.97 | -12.40 | < 0.01 |
| Mean study period temperature | 4.09 | 0.24 | 16.80 | < 0.01 |
| Total study period precipitation | -0.55 | 0.09 | -5.98 | 0.04 |
| UBN | -0.93 | 0.32 | -2.95 | < 0.01 |
| Connectivity | 0.95 | 0.25 | 3.86 | < 0.01 |
| Proportion of neighbours reporting ZIKV | 0.14 | 0.04 | 3.80 | < 0.01 |
| UBN × Connectivity | -0.37 | 0.16 | -2.38 | 0.02 |
Notes: UBN, unsatisfied basic needs; Connectivity, inter-municipal road connectivity; SE, standard error. See Additional file 3 for full model parameters and definitions of variable functional form transformations