Table 4.
Parameters of the best model estimating time to first report of ZIKV in municipality i at week t
| Variable | Weight mean | Coef | SE(Coef) | Wald P | AF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mean elevation | 4.02 | -0.168 | 0.008 | < 0.01 | 0.85 |
| Total weekly precipitation (term 1) | -2.55 | -0.323 | 0.028 | < 0.01 | 0.71 |
| Total weekly precipitation (term 2) | 13.60 | -0.023 | 0.003 | < 0.01 | |
| UBN | 5.98 | -0.076 | 0.021 | < 0.01 | 0.93 |
| Connectivity | 2.79 | 0.157 | 0.029 | < 0.01 | 1.17 |
| Proportion of neighbours reporting ZIKV | 0.252 | 0.968 | 0.093 | < 0.01 | 2.63 |
| Distance to nearest municipality reporting ZIKV | -1.30 | -0.115 | 0.025 | < 0.01 | 0.89 |
| UBN X connectivity | -0.014 | 0.004 | < 0.01 | 0.99 | |
| Baseline parameters | |||||
| log(scale) | 3.274 | 0.154 | < 0.01 | ||
| log(shape) | 0.524 | 0.025 | < 0.01 | ||
Notes: AF acceleration factor, UBN unsatisfied basic needs, SE standard error. See Additional file 3 for definitions of variable functional form transformations