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. 2015 May 5;18(3):267–274. doi: 10.1093/ntr/ntv094

Table 1.

Model Parameters for Changes in Smoking Status, Mortality, Quality of Life and Cost Obtained From Literature Review

Parameter Parameter value Source
Quit rate among current smokers (% per year) 4.3% Ref. 18,23
Relapse rate among former smokers after 1 year of abstinence (% per year) Ref. 19–22
 Year 2 after initial quit 15%
 Year 3–5 after initial quit 5%
 Year 6–9 after initial quit 2%
 Year ≥10 after initial quit 1%
Excess mortality relative to never smokers (relative hazard) Ref. 24–27
 Female current smokers age 24–54 1.369
 Female current smokers age 55–74 2.533
 Female current smokers age ≥75 1.411
 Female former smokers age 24–54 1.214
 Female former smokers age 55–74 1.666
 Female former smokers age ≥75 1.111
 Male current smokers age 24–54 2.486
 Male current smokers age 55–74 2.550
 Male current smokers age ≥75 1.326
 Male former smokers age 24–54 1.074
 Male former smokers age 55–74 1.992
 Male former smokers age ≥75 1.074
All-cause mortality hazard in PTSD 2.1 Ref. 28,29
Quality of life (preference-based utilities) Ref. 17
 Female moderate smokers age 55–64 0.7648
 Female moderate smokers age 65–74 0.7520
 Female moderate smokers age ≥75 0.6778
 Female former smokers age 55–64 0.7827
 Female former smokers age 65–74 0.7709
 Female former smokers age ≥75 0.6987
 Male moderate smokers age 55–64 0.7815
 Male moderate smokers age 65–74 0.7575
 Male moderate smokers age ≥75 0.7112
 Male former smokers age 55–64 0.8020
 Male former smokers age 65–74 0.7802
 Male former smokers age ≥75 0.7358
Health care charges incurred by smokers and former smokers relative to the general population (relative charges)
 Smokers 1.1881
 Recent quitters (<5 years) 1.2476
 Long-term quitters (≥5 years) 0.9595 Ref. 30
Annual health care cost (US $2010) Ref. 31
 Female age 18–24 2235
 Female age 25–44 3347
 Female age 45–64 6229
 Female age 65–90 9623
 Male age 18–24 1072
 Male age 25–44 2158
 Male age 45–64 5217
 Male age 65–90 10 249

PTSD = post-traumatic stress disorder.