Table III.
Combined Risk Scores for West African Countries and Two Developed Countries (United States and United Kingdom) Affected by EVD,a November, 2015
| Risk Criteria | Nigeria | Guinea | Liberia | Sierra Leone | Senegal | Mali | United States | United Kingdom | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gross domestic product (GDP) | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| 2 | Health expenditure (% of GDP) | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| 3 | History of war/civil unrest within the last decade | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 4 | Use of traditional healer and high‐risk traditional practices | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| 5 | Consumption of bush meat | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| 6 | Unsafe animal handling practices | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Physician density | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | Nurses and midwives density | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | Density of skilled HCW | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | Hospital bed density | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| 11 | Availability of diagnostic capacity | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 12 | Timeliness of laboratory result | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 13 | Disease surveillance and response | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| 14 | Nature of land border | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| 15 | Quarantine system and border screening | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| 16 | Roadways/transportation network | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 17 | Overcrowded living | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| 18 | Use of unregulated traditional medicine | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| TOTAL | 31 | 44 | 43 | 43 | 37 | 35 | 20 | 21 |
a
Rationale for assigning risk scores for each criterion to individual country (attached as Annex II in online supplementary file).