Table 2.
The forecasting models
| Model | Predictors | estimate (95%CI) | p-value | logLik | BIC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. Unconditional | −2613 | 5243 | |||
| 2. Current Headache | headache | 1.50 (1.20, 1.89) |
0.0005 | −2387 | 4815 |
| 3. AIR | headache | 1.45 (1.15, 1.82) |
0.0018 | −2317 | 4707 |
| AIR | 1.23 (1.12, 1.34) |
< 0.0001 | |||
| 4. FREQ | headache | 1.43 (1.13, 1.80) |
0.0025 | −2320 | 4713 |
| FREQ | 1.03 (1.02, 1.05) |
0.0001 | |||
| 5. SUM | headache | 1.41 (1.12, 1.78) |
0.0036 | −2317 | 4708 |
| SUM | 1.01 (1.00, 1.02) |
< 0.0001 |
Subscales of the daily stress inventory: AIR (average intensity rating), FREQ (frequency of stressful events), SUM (sum of stressful ratings)