Table 2.
Estimated probability of Zika virus (ZIKV) infection incidence, suspect Zika cases reported per ZIKV, and suspect Guillain–Barré syndrome (GBS) cases per 10,000 ZIKV infections by location
| Location | Estimated probability of ZIKV infection, pZ Mean (95% CrI) |
Estimated suspect Zika cases reported per ZIKV infection, pS Mean (95% CrI) |
Estimated GBS cases reported per 10,000 ZIKV infection, pGZ Mean (95% CrI) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bahia, Brazil | 0.02 (0.01–0.05) | 0.14 (0.04–0.25) | 1.5 (0.3–3.1) |
| Colombia | 0.09 (0.03–0.23) | 0.03 (0.01–0.07) | 2.0 (0.6–4.6) |
| Dominican Republic | 0.11 (0.04–0.25) | 0.01 (0.00–0.01) | 2.2 (0.8–5.0) |
| El Salvador | 0.15 (0.05–0.41) | 0.01 (0.00–0.03) | 2.0 (0.6–4.5) |
| French Polynesia | 0.64 (0.48–0.78) | 0.18 (0.14–0.23) | 2.2 (1.5–3.2) |
| Honduras | 0.04 (0.01–0.12) | 0.07 (0.02–0.15) | 2.0 (0.5–4.3) |
| Puerto Rico | 0.17 (0.08–0.46) | 0.15 (0.04–0.26) | 1.4 (0.4–2.5) |
| Salvador, Brazil | 0.08 (0.03–0.23) | 0.11 (0.03–0.21) | 1.8 (0.4–3.6) |
| Suriname | 0.15 (0.04–0.47) | 0.06 (0.01–0.15) | 2.0 (0.5–4.4) |
| Venezuela | 0.12 (0.04–0.30) | 0.01 (0.00–0.03) | 2.0 (0.6–4.6) |
| Yap | 0.69 (0.57–0.80) | 0.04 (0.03–0.04) | 1.7 (0.4–3.6) |
CrI credible interval