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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2018 May 17.
Published in final edited form as: Neuroimage. 2014 Oct 12;104:398–412. doi: 10.1016/j.neuroimage.2014.10.002

Table 7.

Supervised classification of AD conversion prediction using ADNI database. AUC: area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, ACC: accuracy, SEN: sensitivity, SPE: specificity.

Author Data Validation method Result Conversion time
Moradi et al. (this paper) MRI, age and cognitive measures 10-fold cross-validation AUC = 90%
ACC = 82%
SEN = 87%
SPE = 74%
0–36 months
Misra et al. (2009) Basic measures and MRI data,
27 pMCI and 76 sMCI
Leave-one-out cross-validation AUC = 77%
ACC = 75%–80%
0–36 months
Davatzikos et al. (2011) MRI and CSF,
69 pMCI and 170 sMCI
k-fold cross-validation AUC = 73%
Max ACC = 62%
0–36 months
Ye et al. (2012) Basic measures and MRI data,
177 sMCI and 142 pMCI
Leave-one-out cross-validation AUC = 86% 0–48 months
Zhang and Shen (2012) MRI, PET and cognitive scores,
38 pMCI and 50 sMCI
Leave-one-out cross-validation AUC = 77%
ACC = 78%
SEN = 79%
SPE = 78%
0–24 months
Gaser et al. (2013) Age and MRI data,
133 pMCI and 62 sMCI
Independent test set AUC = 78% 0–36 months
Cuingnetet al. (2011) MRI data,
134 sMIC, 76 pMCI
Independent test set ACC = 67%
SEN = 62%
SPE = 69%
0–18 months
Shaffer et al. (2013) MRI, PET, CSF and basic measurements, 97 MCI k-fold cross-validation ACC = 72% 0–48 months
Eskildsen et al. (2013) Age and MRI data,
161 pMCI, 227 sMCI
Leave-one-out cross-validation AUC:
pMCI6vs sMCI = 81%,
pMCI12 vs sMCI = 76%,
pMCI24 vs sMCI = 71%,
pMC36 vs sMCI = 64%,
0–48 months
Wolz et al. (2011) Combination of different MR-based features
238 sMCI, 167 pMCI
k-fold cross-validation ACC = 68%
SEN = 67%
SPE = 69%
0–48 months
Chupin et al. (2009) MRI data,
134 sMCI, 76 pMCI
Independent test set ACC = 64%
SEN = 60%
SPE = 65%
0–18 months
Cho et al. (2012) MRI data,
131 sMCI, 72 pMCI
Independent test set ACC = 71%
SEN = 63%
SPE = 76%
0–18 months
Coupé et al. (2012) MRI data,
238 sMCI, 167 pMCI
Leave-one-out cross-validation ACC = 74%
SEN = 73%
SPE = 74%
0–48 months
Westman et al. (2011a) MRI data,
256 sMCI, 62 pMCI
k-fold cross-validation ACC = 59%
SEN = 74%
SPE = 56%
0–12 months
Cheng et al. (2012) MRI, PET, CSF
51 D, 52 NC,
99 MCI
Only MRI
k-fold cross-validation AUC = 73.6%
ACC = 69.4%
SEN = 64.3%
SPE = 73.5%
AUC = 70.0%
ACC = 63.3%
SEN = 59.8%
SPE = 66.0%
Not available
Casanova et al. (2013) Only cognitive measures,
188 NC, 171 AD,
153 pMCI, 182 sMCI
Only MRI (GM)
k-fold cross-validation ACC = 65%
SEN = 58%
SPE = 70%
ACC = 62%
SEN = 46%
SPE = 76%
0–36 months