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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2018 Nov 1.
Published in final edited form as: Biom J. 2017 May 16;59(6):1277–1300. doi: 10.1002/bimj.201600235

Figure 2.

Figure 2

Simulation estimates for bias (upper-left), variance (upper-right), ΔAUC (bottom-left), and ΔR2 (bottom-right) for predicted probability P(T ≤ τ + s|T > τ,Z(τ),X) for s = 1, 3, 5-year prediction windows from joint model (MM) and landmark model (LM1), under a Markov illness-death model with a single baseline covariate and continuously observed marker measurement.