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. 2018 Mar 29;46(3):385–393. doi: 10.1007/s15010-018-1136-2

Table 4.

Receiver operating characteristics curve (ROC) analysis of noninvasive models for the diagnosis of significant fibrosis in CHB patients with ALT < 2ULN

AUROC (95%CI) Cut-off value Sensitivity (%) Specificity (%) PPV (%) NPV (%)
Training group
 YKL-40 model 0.786 (0.726–0.846) − 0.56 71.74 72.85 61.68 80.88
 APRI 0.736 (0.670–0.803) 0.76 42.39 93.38 79.60 72.68
 FIB-4 0.735 (0.669–0.801) 1.33 50.00 88.08 71.88 74.30
 Forns’ index 0.753 (0.688–0.817) 7.75 56.52 82.78 66.66 75.76
 Hui model 0.734 (0.667–0.801) 0.12 69.57 70.20 58.72 79.11
Validation group
 YKL-40 model 0.831 (0.752–0.910) − 0.33 71.79 85.33 71.79 85.33
 APRI 0.762 (0.668–0.855) 0.50 71.79 73.33 58.33 83.33
 FIB-4 0.743 (0.648–0.838) 1.14 79.49 64.00 53.45 85.72
 Forns’ index 0.804 (0.723–0.886) 7.12 79.49 73.33 60.78 87.30
 Hui model 0.771 (0.684–0.857) 0.08 87.18 54.67 50.00 89.13