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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2019 Jul 1.
Published in final edited form as: Epidemiology. 2018 Jul;29(4):473–481. doi: 10.1097/EDE.0000000000000825

Table 2.

Mean (95% empirical confidence interval) fraction of emergency department visits and deaths attributable to deviations from the minimum morbidity or mortality temperature in Rhode Island and Boston. Extreme and moderate cold and heat are defined using the 2.5th and 97.5th percentiles of location-specific mean temperature and the location-specific minimum morbidity or mortality temperature.

Attributable Fraction (%) Attributable Number (n/year)

Emergency department visits Deaths Emergency department visits Deaths
Rhode Island
 Total 2.0% (0.8%, 3.3%) 12.1% (3.8%, 19.7%) 8981 (3382, 14557) 1138 (356, 1846)
 Extreme cold a 0.1% (0.002%, 0.2%) 0.7% (0.3%, 1.1%) 445 (10, 863) 70 (30, 104)
 Moderate cold b 0.8% (0.05%, 1.4%) 11.3% (3.4%, 18.4%) 3383 (220, 6320) 1059 (316, 1721)
 Moderate heat c 0.9% (−0.2%, 2.0%) 0.03% (−0.2%, 0.3%) 4050 (−993, 8946) 3 (−21, 26)
 Extreme heat d 0.2% (0.1%, 0.4%) 0.1% (−0.2%, 0.3%) 1103 (632, 1587) 6 (−21, 29)
Boston
 Total 2.1% (−0.3%, 4.3%) 14.8% (6.0%, 22.4%) 12928 (−1660, 26557) 1646 (653, 2500)
 Extreme cold a 0.002% (−0.3%, 0.3%) 0.8% (0.3%, 1.1%) 10 (−1694, 1601) 86 (39, 125)
 Moderate cold b 0.7 (−0.4%, 1.8%) 14.0% (5.4%, 21.7%) 4222 (−2518, 10786) 1557 (604, 2425)
 Moderate heat c 1.2 (−0.9%, 3.2%) 0.01% (−0.1%, 0.1%) 7288 (−5435, 19382) 1 (−12, 14)
 Extreme heat d 0.2 (0.1%, 0.4%) 0.03% (−0.2%, 0.2%) 1408 (419, 2369) 3 (−22, 25)
a

< 2.5th percentile of mean temperature

b

2.5th percentile of mean temperature to the location-specific minimum morbidity or mortality temperature

c

Location-specific minimum morbidity or mortality temperature to the 97.5th percentile of mean temperature

d

< 97.5th percentile of mean temperature