Figure 3.

A, Predictions from model E0 for the default duration (5 years) and 2 alternative durations (10 years and 0 years) of the attack phase for a setting with a high precontrol endemicity (10 cases per 10000 people per year). Supplementary Figure 1 includes these predictions from all 4 models for 3 different precontrol endemicity settings. B, Stacked line chart of the distribution of infection states over time for model E0, in a setting with a high precontrol endemicity (10 cases per 10000 people per year) with the default 5-year attack phase starting in year 0, followed by the consolidation phase. Supplementary Figure 2 includes the distribution of infection states over time for all 4 models in a high-endemicity setting. Abbreviations: PKDL, post-kala-azar dermal leishmaniasis; VL, visceral leishmaniasis; WHO, World Health Organization.