Table 4.
Model 1 | Model 2 | Model 3 | Model 4 | Model 5 | Model 6 | Model 7 | Model 8 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Real beer price | −0.0004 (−0.56) | −0.0004 (−0.58) | −0.0004 (−0.62) | −0.0004 (−0.61) | −0.0003 (−0.43) | −0.0004 (−0.56) | −0.0004 (−0.56) | −0.0004 (−0.59) |
Liquor outlets | 0.0005 (0.53) | 0.0005 (0.54) | 0.0005 (0.56) | 0.0005 (0.55) | 0.0005 (0.59) | 0.0005 (0.52) | 0.0005 (0.50) | 0.0009 (0.93) |
Percent dry | −0.0012 (−1.26) | −0.0013 (−1.32) | −0.0014 (−1.39) | −0.0010 (−1.07) | −0.0011 (−1.05) | −0.0012 (−1.23) | −0.0015 (−1.49) | −0.0016 (−1.51) |
Keg info required | 0.0010 (1.31) | |||||||
Keg deposit | 0.00003 (3.59) | |||||||
BAC .08 | 0.0008 (1.53) | |||||||
Drivers license loss age 18 or 19 | 0.0004 (0.25) | |||||||
Drivers license loss age 21 | 0.0012 (1.29) | |||||||
Mandatory training | 0.0042 (2.07) | |||||||
Incentives for voluntary training | −0.0018 (−1.57) | |||||||
Fake ID support | −0.0007 (−0.79) | |||||||
Sunday ban | 0.0005 (0.70) | |||||||
Count of exceptions | −0.0013 (−1.37) | |||||||
Open container federal standard | −0.0018 (−2.13) | |||||||
Age 25 to 29 | −0.0032 (−1.32) | −0.0032 (−1.32) | −0.0032 (−1.32) | −0.0032 (−1.32) | −0.0032 (−1.32) | −0.0032 (−1.32) | −0.0032 (−1.32) | −0.0032 (−1.32) |
Age 30 to 49 | −0.0048 (−1.78) | −0.0048 (−1.78) | −0.0048 (−1.78) | −0.0048 (−1.78) | −0.0048 (−1.78) | −0.0048 (−1.78) | −0.0048 (−1.78) | −0.0048 (−1.78) |
Age 50 and up | −0.0038 (−1.40) | −0.0038 (−1.40) | −0.0038 (−1.40) | −0.0038 (−1.40) | −0.0038 (−1.40) | −0.0038 (−1.40) | −0.0038 (−1.40) | −0.0038 (−1.40) |
Married | −0.0023 (−2.78) | −0.0023 (−2.78) | −0.0023 (−2.78) | −0.0023 (−2.78) | −0.0023 (−2.78) | −0.0023 (−2.78) | −0.0023 (−2.77) | −0.0023 (−2.77) |
Less than high school education | 0.0012 (1.61) | 0.0012 (1.61) | 0.0012 (1.61) | 0.0012 (1.63) | 0.0012 (1.61) | 0.0012 (1.60) | 0.0012 (1.61) | 0.0012 (1.62) |
High school education | 0.0006 (0.67) | 0.0006 (0.67) | 0.0006 (0.67) | 0.0006 (0.67) | 0.0006 (0.66) | 0.0006 (0.67) | 0.0006 (0.67) | 0.0006 (0.67) |
College education | 0.0026 (3.07) | 0.0026 (3.07) | 0.0026 (3.07) | 0.0026 (3.08) | 0.0026 (3.07) | 0.0026 (3.06) | 0.0026 (3.07) | 0.0026 (3.07) |
Income less than $7,500 | 0.0007 (0.37) | 0.0007 (0.37) | 0.0007 (0.37) | 0.0007 (0.37) | 0.0007 (0.37) | 0.0007 (0.37) | 0.0007 (0.37) | 0.0007 (0.37) |
Income $7,500 to $24,999 | 0.0001 (0.05) | 0.0001 (0.05) | 0.0001 (0.05) | 0.0001 (0.05) | 0.0001 (0.06) | 0.0001 (0.05) | 0.0001 (0.06) | 0.0001 (0.05) |
Income $25,000 to $29,999 | 0.0015 (1.46) | 0.0015 (1.46) | 0.0015 (1.46) | 0.0015 (1.46) | 0.0015 (1.47) | 0.0015 (1.46) | 0.0015 (1.47) | 0.0015 (1.47) |
Income $30,000 to $49,999 | 0.0002 (0.20) | 0.0002 (0.19) | 0.0002 (0.20) | 0.0002 (0.19) | 0.0002 (0.19) | 0.0002 (0.20) | 0.0002 (0.20) | 0.0002 (0.19) |
Income $50,000 and over | 0.0002 (0.15) | 0.0002 (0.15) | 0.0002 (0.15) | 0.0002 (0.15) | 0.0002 (0.15) | 0.0002 (0.15) | 0.0002 (0.15) | 0.0002 (0.14) |
Income missing | −0.0010 (−0.95) | −0.0010 (−0.95) | −0.0009 (−0.95) | −0.0010 (−0.95) | −0.0010 (−0.96) | −0.0010 (−0.95) | −0.0010 (−0.95) | −0.0010 (−0.96) |
Unemployment | 0.0004 (0.50) | 0.0003 (0.47) | 0.0003 (0.45) | 0.0003 (0.41) | 0.0002 (0.29) | 0.0004 (0.51) | 0.0004 (0.53) | 0.0003 (0.43) |
Real income per capita, in $1000s | 0.0012 (1.02) | 0.0011 (0.96) | 0.0010 (0.86) | 0.0010 (0.83) | 0.0013 (1.13) | 0.0012 (1.03) | 0.0012 (1.03) | 0.0011 (0.94) |
Percent population age 15 to 24 | 0.1844 (1.39) | 0.1783 (1.34) | 0.1700 (1.23) | 0.1827 (1.33) | 0.1976 (1.51) | 0.1908 (1.40) | 0.1827 (1.37) | 0.2275 (1.67) |
Percent population black | −0.0020 (−0.88) | −0.0019 (−0.83) | −0.0017 (−0.71) | −0.0018 (−0.76) | −0.0021 (−0.90) | −0.0020 (−0.88) | −0.0022 (−0.93) | −0.0017 (−0.70) |
Lagged police expenditures | −0.00003 (−1.24) | −0.00003 (−1.28) | −0.00003 (−1.31) | −0.00003 (−1.20) | −0.00003 (−1.15) | −0.00003 (−1.24) | −0.00003 (−1.24) | −0.00003 (−1.25) |
Lagged incarceration rate | 0.000003 (0.39) | 0.000003 (0.41) | 0.000003 (0.49) | 0.000002 (0.31) | 0.000003 (0.47) | 0.000003 (0.40) | 0.000002 (0.33) | 0.000002 (0.25) |
Percent with bachelor’s degree | −0.0002 (−1.32) | −0.0002 (−1.35) | −0.0002 (−1.31) | −0.0002 (−1.39) | −0.0002 (−1.65) | −0.0002 (−1.33) | −0.0002 (−1.21) | −0.0002 (−1.13) |
Percent rural | −0.0019 (−2.50) | −0.0018 (−2.38) | −0.0018 (−2.37) | −0.0018 (−2.37) | −0.0020 (−2.71) | −0.0019 (−2.50) | −0.0019 (−2.57) | −0.0019 (−2.68) |
Notes: N=554,276. Coefficients from linear probability models with individual fixed effects shown. T-statistics in parentheses based on MSA-level clustered standard errors. Models also include indicator variables for the survey year and survey quarter.