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. 2018 May 23;12(5):e0006490. doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0006490

Table 1. Main demographic and epidemiological model inputs to estimate the cost-effectiveness of an illustrative dog rabies vaccination programs in East Africa.

Model Variable Model Values Source
Urban Rural
Human population
Total Human Population 661,444 338,047 [25]
Square kilometers (km2) 220 1,792 [25]
Human Population (per km2) 3,007 189 Calculateda
Human birth rate (per 1,000 pop) 36.0 39.8 [26]
Human life expectancy(yrs) 58.5 58.5  [27]
Life expectancy at age 10 yrs 52.8 52.8 [27]
Average age of death due to dog rabies (yrs) 10 10 [2]
Estimated annual human deaths from dog rabies at the beginning of the program 20 10 [1,2,20]
Dog population
Number of humans-per-dogb 18.1 7.4 [2, 20, 30]
Total Dog Population 36,544 45,682 Calculateda
Dog per km2 166 25.5 Calculateda
Dog birth rate (per 1,000 dogs)c 676 572 [7,29]
Dog life expectancy, yearsd 3 3 [29]
Probability of clinical outcome (dogs) 0.45 0.45 [8]

a Calculated using the RabiesEcon tool. Please see Supplemental material.

b The numbers of humans-per-dog for Blantyre were obtained from Gibson et al. [20]; the estimate for rural areas was based on Knobel et al.’s estimate for Africa [2].

c The urban dog birth rate was obtained from a dog population household survey in N’Djamena, Chad [7]. For the rural scenario, we used data from Machakos District, Kenya [28].

d Life expectancy at birth was 3.5 and 2.4 years for male and female dogs in Kenya [29].