Appendix 1—table 4. Summary ABC posterior estimates and 95% Credible Intervals.

Parameter	SOR estimate	SORI estimate
${\displaystyle p_T}$	0.50 (0.12, 0.99)	0.51 (0.16, 0.88)
${\displaystyle p_{FP}}$	1.7e-4 (1.5e-5, 2.9e-4)	1.8e-4 (9.7e-6, 3.0e-4)
${\displaystyle {p^{\prime }}_T}$	0.8 (0.29, 1.0)	0.79 (0.34, 0.98)
${\displaystyle p_{FP}^{\prime }}$	5.5e-4 (1.3e-4, 9.6e-4)	5.7e-4 (1.3e-4, 9.8e-4)
${\displaystyle p_{RI}}$	0.53 (0.15, 0.94)	0.68 (0.16, 0.98)
${\displaystyle T_O}$	0.18 years (0.01, 0.34)	0.19 years (0.17, 0.34)
${\displaystyle T_R}$	-	7.0 years (2.1, 9.9)
${\displaystyle \beta }$	1.8e-3 per year (1.5e-4, 4e-3)	2.5e-2 per year (1.9e-3, 9.4e-2)
${\displaystyle q}$	0.63 (0.32,0.94)	0.48 (0.1, 0.9)
${\displaystyle {\chi }_1}$	9.0e-6 per year (4.0e-6, 2.3e-5)	9.6e-6 per year (5.1e-6, 2.2e-5)
${\displaystyle {\chi }_2}$	5.0e-6 per year (1.5e-6, 1.3e-5)	5.7e-6 per year (2.7e-6, 1.1e-5)
${\displaystyle {\chi }_4}$	2.0e-6 per year (5.0e-7, 8.6e-6)	2.5e-6 per year (7.8e-7, 5.8e-6)