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. 2017 Dec 21;104(12):1006–1013. doi: 10.1136/heartjnl-2016-310661

Table 3.

Model predicted clinical outcomes over lifetime unless otherwise stated

Component ACEI Sacubitril/valsartan Incremental
UK Denmark Colombia UK Denmark Colombia UK Denmark Colombia
Life expectancy, years 8.36 7.34 7.95 9.27 8.07 8.78 0.91 0.73 0.83
Number of HF hospitalisations per patient 0.89 0.82 0.85 0.84 0.76 0.79 −0.05 −0.05 −0.05
Number of CV hospitalisations per patient 2.18 2.01 2.08 2.06 1.88 1.95 −0.13 −0.13 −0.13
All-cause hospitalisations 3.50 3.22 3.34 3.30 3.01 3.13 −0.20 −0.21 −0.21
All-cause mortality (%) at year 2 16% 20% 17% 14% 17% 15% −0.02 −0.02 −0.02
All-cause mortality (%) at year 5 38% 44% 40% 33% 40% 36% −0.05 −0.04 −0.04
All-cause mortality (%) at year 10 66% 72% 68% 60% 67% 63% −0.05 −0.04 −0.05

ACEI, angiotensin-converting-enzyme inhibitor; CV, cardiovascular; HF, heart failure.