Table 1.
Markov model inputs
Variables | Value | References |
---|---|---|
Transition probabilitiesa | ||
Usual care | ||
Probability of healing (3-month) | 0.2281 | [19] |
Probability of recurrence (annual) | 0.5574 | [20] |
Probability of hospitalisation (5-year) | 0.24 | [22] |
Optimal care | ||
Probability of healing (3-month) | 0.5872 | [19] |
Probability of recurrence (annual) | 0.2222 | [5] |
Probability of hospitalisation (annual) | 0.0116 | [21] |
VLU Incidence rate (annual) | 0.0121 | [18] |
All-cause mortality rate (annual) | 0.0282 | Calculated from ABS data [15] |
Proportion of unhealed ulcers with infection | ||
Usual care | 10% | [24] |
Optimal care | 5% | [24] |
Cost itemsb | ||
GP | AUD 71.70 | MBS item 36 |
Nurse practitioner | AUD 58.55 | MBS item 82215 |
Vascular surgeon | AUD 85.55 | MBS item 104 |
Community nurse hourly wage rate | AUD 24.74–37.05 | [31–38] |
Ankle-brachial pressure index (ABPI) assessment | AUD 63.74 | MBS item 11610 |
Pathology test | AUD 33.75 | MBS item 69306 |
Compression bandage | AUD 51.5 | Retail price |
Compression stocking | AUD 97.75 | Retail price |
Complicated VLU with hospitalisation | AUD 18,331.60 | [23] |
Quality of life utility score | ||
Healed VLU | 0.75 | [25] |
Unhealed VLU | 0.64 | [25] |
Complicated VLU with hospitalisation | 0.54 | calculated |