Fig 3. Sensitivity analysis results.

Partial rank correlation coefficients (PRCC) for infection maintenance for 1000 simulations for 100 parameter sets for a 25 year time period for our stochastic Eidolon helvum–Lagos bat virus model. Positive PRCC indicate increasing a parameter increases infection maintenance. Parameters are: transmission rate β; adult mortality rate μ; juvenile mortality rate δ; disease induced mortality α; probability of becoming infectious ρ; incubation period σ; carrying capacity K; rate of seroconversion τ; rate of loss of maternally-derived immunity ψ; and annual birth synchrony s. Significance at α = 0.05 is demarcated by the red line. Parameters were varied according to those ranges in Table 1.