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. 2018 Apr 22;45(8):3653–3663. doi: 10.1002/2018GL077382

Table 1.

Preindustrial and Prior and Posterior LGM Methane Sources and Lifetime

LGM
Prior Posterior
Sources (TgCH4/year) Late Preindustrial Mean ±1 s.d. ΔLGM (%) Mean ±1 s.d. ΔLGM (%)
N extratropical wetland 55 18 4.7 −67 12.0 4.0 −78
Tropical wetland 73 55 14.3 −25 32.0 4.7 −56
S extratropical wetlanda 11 6.2 −44
Biomass burning 21 13.5 4.8 −36 16.6 2.0 −21
Termites 20 12 3.1 −40 10.8 3.0 −46
Hydrates 10 10 3.6 0 6.9 2.2 −31
Other geological 10 10 4.6 0 10.5 2.5 5
Oceansa 1 0.8 −20
Sum 201 126 34 −38 96 18 −52
Total lifetime (yr) 9.7 10.3b 0.2 6 10.4c 0.1 7

Note. The LGM means and standard deviations are derived from the PDFs shown in the blue curves in Figure 3. The individual prior sink terms are given in Table S4 in the supporting information. Refer to Tables S2 and S3 for isotopic signatures of individual sources and sinks.

a

Indicates sources not varied as part of the Bayesian algorithm.

b

Calculated using the prior mean LGM fire emissions.

c

Calculated using the posterior mean LGM fire emissions. LGM = Last Glacial Maximum.