Table 1.
LGM | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prior | Posterior | ||||||
Sources (TgCH4/year) | Late Preindustrial | Mean | ±1 s.d. | ΔLGM (%) | Mean | ±1 s.d. | ΔLGM (%) |
N extratropical wetland | 55 | 18 | 4.7 | −67 | 12.0 | 4.0 | −78 |
Tropical wetland | 73 | 55 | 14.3 | −25 | 32.0 | 4.7 | −56 |
S extratropical wetlanda | 11 | 6.2 | — | −44 | — | — | |
Biomass burning | 21 | 13.5 | 4.8 | −36 | 16.6 | 2.0 | −21 |
Termites | 20 | 12 | 3.1 | −40 | 10.8 | 3.0 | −46 |
Hydrates | 10 | 10 | 3.6 | 0 | 6.9 | 2.2 | −31 |
Other geological | 10 | 10 | 4.6 | 0 | 10.5 | 2.5 | 5 |
Oceansa | 1 | 0.8 | − | −20 | − | − | − |
Sum | 201 | 126 | 34 | −38 | 96 | 18 | −52 |
Total lifetime (yr) | 9.7 | 10.3b | 0.2 | 6 | 10.4c | 0.1 | 7 |
Note. The LGM means and standard deviations are derived from the PDFs shown in the blue curves in Figure 3. The individual prior sink terms are given in Table S4 in the supporting information. Refer to Tables S2 and S3 for isotopic signatures of individual sources and sinks.
Indicates sources not varied as part of the Bayesian algorithm.
Calculated using the prior mean LGM fire emissions.
Calculated using the posterior mean LGM fire emissions. LGM = Last Glacial Maximum.