Table 3.

The 90th percentile confidence intervals for all performance measure estimates of each method for Scenario 2 in Table 1 (corresponding to Fig. 2)

Measure	p ..	L R F	L R R	g P S A	g P S W	g P S WT	g P S MWS
Sensitivity	0.03	0.20, 0.70	0.00, 0.20	0.00, 0.20	0.00, 0.20	0.00, 0.20	0.00, 0.10
	0.10	0.50, 0.90	0.00, 0.30	0.00, 0.30	0.00, 0.20	0.00, 0.20	0.00, 0.20
	0.20	0.68, 1.00	0.00, 0.30	0.00, 0.30	0.00, 0.20	0.00, 0.20	0.00, 0.30
Specificity	0.03	0.75, 0.95	0.97, 1.00	0.97, 1.00	0.92, 1.00	0.92, 1.00	0.95, 1.00
	0.10	0.57, 0.80	0.98, 1.00	0.98, 1.00	0.92, 1.00	0.95, 1.00	0.90, 1.00
	0.20	0.45, 0.72	0.97, 1.00	0.97, 1.00	0.92, 1.00	0.95, 1.00	0.90, 1.00
PPV	0.03	0.18, 0.67	0.00, 1.00	0.00, 1.00	0.00, 1.00	0.00, 1.00	0.00, 1.00
	0.10	0.27, 0.53	0.00, 1.00	0.00, 1.00	0.00, 1.00	0.00, 1.00	0.00, 1.00
	0.20	0.26, 0.43	0.50, 1.00	0.50, 1.00	0.00, 1.00	0.00, 1.00	0.00, 1.00
NPV	0.03	0.80, 0.92	0.80, 0.83	0.80, 0.83	0.79, 0.83	0.79, 0.83	0.79, 0.82
	0.10	0.84, 0.97	0.80, 0.85	0.80, 0.85	0.79, 0.83	0.79, 0.83	0.79, 0.83
	0.20	0.86, 1.00	0.80, 0.85	0.80, 0.85	0.79, 0.83	0.79, 0.83	0.79, 0.85

p_.. = average mortality rate over providers; PPV = positive predictive value; NPV = negative predictive value