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. 2018 Jun 15;8:9161. doi: 10.1038/s41598-018-27337-w

Table 4.

The performance comparison of the proposed models and the baseline models.

Models Accuracy PPIA SPIA
LSTM with TI 0.9906 ± 0.0043 0.9894 ± 0.0074 0.9912 ± 0.0039
LSTM w/o TI 0.9843 ± 0.0057 0.9792 ± 0.0117 0.9849 ± 0.0053
LR with average aggregation 0.7955 ± 0.0216 0.7126 ± 0.0345 0.7986 ± 0.0211
LR with two most recent visits 0.6652 ± 0.0162 0.5057 ± 0.0409 0.6674 ± 0.0163
LR with the most recent visit 0.6803 ± 0.0243 0.5209 ± 0.0370 0.6825 ± 0.0243
SVM with average aggregation 0.7445 ± 0.0237 0.6465 ± 0.0516 0.7468 ± 0.0226
SVM with two most recent visits 0.6533 ± 0.0165 0.4825 ± 0.0445 0.6552 ± 0.0163
SVM with the most recent visit 0.6746 ± 0.0209 0.4931 ± 0.0245 0.6757 ± 0.0208
DT with average aggregation 0.7035 ± 0.0206 0.6223 ± 0.0267 0.7058 ± 0.0200
DT with two most recent visits 0.5810 ± 0.0199 0.4463 ± 0.0470 0.5829 ± 0.0196
DT with the most recent visit 0.5916 ± 0.0204 0.4705 ± 0.0458 0.5934 ± 0.0196
RF with average aggregation 0.6916 ± 0.0223 0.5786 ± 0.0487 0.6944 ± 0.0227
RF with two most recent visits 0.6373 ± 0.0181 0.4517 ± 0.0430 0.6399 ± 0.0179
RF with the most recent visit 0.6416 ± 0.0183 0.4570 ± 0.0422 0.6441 ± 0.0186

LSTM with TI and LSTM w/o TI are implemented based on the dataset of patients with more than 3 visits. Baseline models with average aggregation are trained with aggregated features derived from the longitudinal data. Baseline models with two most recent visits are trained directly with the information of the (N1)th visit and the Nth visit among historical visits. Baseline models with the most visit are trained directly with the Nth visit. LSTM with TI model and all the baseline models are trained with time intervals, while LSTM w/o TI is trained without time intervals. Note that the results presented here are mean values and the standard deviation values of the 10-fold cross validation, and the performances of each fold are provided in the Supplementary Tables S2S7.