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. 2018 May 23;115(24):6243–6248. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1718945115

Table 1.

Multi-GCM ensemble mean (and range) of the predicted number of dengue cases (million cases per year) in LATAM under different climate change scenarios

Scenario Baseline 2050s 2100
1.5 °C 4.3 (3.0–6.1) 10.7 (7.0–16.7) 8.8 (5.9–13.6)
2.0 °C 11.0 (7.1–17.2) 9.3 (6.1–14.7)
3.7 °C 11.8 (7.4–19.2) 12.1 (6.9–22.1)

The baseline values are the same for all climate change scenarios.