Figure 1.

Statistics comparing model performance. Root-mean-square-error (RMSE) and 95% coverage probabilities (CP) for: the model that only uses the climate data (M1); the model without the climate data and purely based on the spatio-temporal random effects; the model that combines both the climate data and spatio-temporal random effects (M3). The horizontal dashed line in the lower panel corresponds to 0.95 which is the nominal level of coverage for the prediction intervals.