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. 2018 Jun 21;8:9441. doi: 10.1038/s41598-018-27721-6

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© The Author(s) 2018

Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.

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Maps of locations occupying the four corners of the conceptual framework of Belote et al.¹¹, based on forward velocity (top row), backward velocity (middle row), and climate dissimilarity (bottom row), with columns showing the winnowing that happens with increasingly stringent thresholds for climate model consensus, ranging from low at left to high at right: ≥5 (left-hand column), >10 (second column from left), >16 (third column from left), or 18 (right-hand column). Area of each corner is shown in Fig. 6.