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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2019 Aug 1.
Published in final edited form as: Pediatr Infect Dis J. 2018 Aug;37(8):743–748. doi: 10.1097/INF.0000000000001883

Table 2.

Score features with associated odds ratios (OR) and point values of risk scores developed to predict in-hospital mortality from pneumonia among children less than five years of age diagnosed with respiratory illness or pneumonia.

RISC mRISC RISC-Malawi
OR (95%
CI)
Score OR (95%
CI)
Score OR (95%
CI)
Score
HIV- Model:
Low weight-for-age (z-score≤−2) 2.5 (1.6–3.8) 1 Low weight-for-age (−3<z-score≤−2) 2.1 (1.3–3.2) 1 Moderate malnutrition (MUAC 11.5–13.5cm) 1.7 (1.2–2.5) 3
Very low weight-for-age (z-score≤−3) 6.0 (2.5–14.4) 2 Very low weight-for-age (z-score≤−3) 3.8 (2.7–5.4) 1 Severe malnutrition (MUAC <11.5cm) 4.6 (3.1–7.0) 7
Low oxygen saturation (SpO2≤90%) 21.0 (5.0–87.0) 3 Chest indrawing 2.2 (1.5–3.1) 1 Moderate hypoxemia (SpO2 90–92%) 1.5 (1.1–2.3) 2
Chest indrawing 4.6 (2.2–9.4) 2 Refusal to feed 1.8 (1.2–2.8) 1 Severe hypoxemia (SpO2<90%) 5.0 (4.0–6.3) 7
Refusal to feed 1.8 (0.9–3.8) 1 Dehydration 1.9 (1.3–2.8) 1 Wheezing 0.7 (0.5–0.9) −2
Wheezing 0.2 (0.1–0.6) −2 Not fully alert at exam 8.0 (5.0–12.6 2 Unconscious at exam 5.7 (4.0–8.1) 8
HIV+ model: Laboratory-confirmed malaria 0.2 (0.1–0.4) −1 Female gender 1.3 (1.0–1.5) 1
Low oxygen saturation (SpO2≤90%) 4.8 (3.0–7.6) 2 Concurrent malaria and chest indrawing 3.6 (1.7–7.8) 1
Chest indrawing 2.2 (1.7–2.8) 1 History of unconsciousness 2.3 (1.6–3.4) 1
Refusal to feed 1.5 (1.2–2.0) 1 Night sweats 0.5 (0.3–0.7) −1
Wheezing 0.6 (0.4–0.9) −1
Age ≤2 months 6.0 (3.5–10.4) 2
Age 3–12 months 2.2 (1.4–3.4) 1
Severe HIV (clinical classification C) 5.5 (2.5–12.1) 2
Mild/moderate HIV (clinical classification A/B) 2.3 (1.1–5.0) 1

Scores were derived from model coefficients. Higher cumulative scores were associated with greater risk of mortality.