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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2018 Jul 2.
Published in final edited form as: Am Econ J Econ Policy. 2015 Nov;7(4):279–311. doi: 10.1257/pol.20130057

Table 5.

Cyclicality of Mortality by Fraction Living in Nursing Homes

Deaths Ages 65+ (age-adjusted)

Women Men
Unemployment Rate −0.070 −0.079
(0.176) (0.097)
UER X percent Over 65 Living in Group Quarters −5.306** −2.737
(1.833) (2.539)

1980 Census measures of percent over 65 in group quarters
25th percentile state 0.053 0.032
median state 0.065 0.037
75th percentile state 0.076 0.046

Notes: Dependent variable is age-adjusted log death rate for persons aged 65 and older, for women (column 1) and men (column 2). Each parameter is the estimated mortality semi-elasticity with respect to the state-year unemployment rate, with coefficients multiplied by 100, which is allowed to vary by the share of individuals over 65 living in group quarters. The sample includes the years 1979-2006. Additional controls include state and year fixed effects, state-specific trends, demographic and education controls. Standard errors clustered at the state level. Estimates weighted by state-year population of relevant age group.

***

Significant at the 1 percent level.

**

Significant at the 5 percent level.

*

Significant at the 10 percent level