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. 2018 Jul 3;362:k2575. doi: 10.1136/bmj.k2575

Table 2.

Hazard ratio (95% CI) of all cause mortality according to predicted fat mass and lean body mass in men (Health Professionals Follow-up Study, 1987-2012)


No of deaths Incidence rate per 100 000 person years Hazard ratio (95% CI)
Model 1* Model 2 Model 3
Fifth of fat mass §
1 (lowest) 1937 1265 1 (reference) 1 (reference) 1 (reference)
2 2298 1504 1.09 (1.03 to 1.16) 1.06 (1.00 to 1.12) 1.08 (1.01 to 1.15)
3 2297 1504 1.03 (0.97 to 1.09) 0.98 (0.92 to 1.04) 1.01 (0.94 to 1.07)
4 2726 1789 1.23 (1.16 to 1.31) 1.13 (1.06 to 1.20) 1.16 (1.09 to 1.24)
5 (highest) 3098 2038 1.51 (1.42 to 1.60) 1.33 (1.25 to 1.41) 1.35 (1.26 to 1.46)
P value for trend <0.001 <0.001 <0.001
Fifth of lean body mass §
1 (lowest) 2996 1969 1 (reference) 1 (reference) 1 (reference)
2 2419 1585 0.93 (0.88 to 0.98) 0.93 (0.88 to 0.98) 0.92 (0.87 to 0.97)
3 2324 1521 0.95 (0.90 to 1.01) 0.93 (0.88 to 0.98) 0.90 (0.85 to 0.96)
4 2282 1494 1.03 (0.98 to 1.09) 1.00 (0.95 to 1.06) 0.92 (0.87 to 0.98)
5 (highest) 2335 1529 1.26 (1.20 to 1.34) 1.16 (1.10 to 1.23) 0.97 (0.91 to 1.04)
P value for trend - - <0.001 <0.001 0.49
*

Adjusted for age.

Adjusted for age, race (white or non-white), family history of cardiovascular disease (yes or no), family history of cancer (yes or no), physical activity (<3, 3-8.9, 9-17.9, 18-26.9, or >27 MET-h/week), alcohol consumption (0, 0.1-4.9, 5-9.9, 10-14.9, or ≥15 g/day), total energy intake (fifths), smoking status (never, ever, 1-14, 15-24, or ≥25 cigarettes/day), and Alternate Healthy Eating Index (fifths).

Additionally, mutually adjusted for predicted fat mass and predicted lean body mass.

§

Derived from validated anthropometric prediction equations; height was adjusted by inclusion as continuous variable for fat mass and by regression out of variation due to height for lean body mass.