Table 3.

Parameter estimates for the median and 95% credible intervals of the four unknown parameters from 50 000 MCMC iterations with a burn-in of 10 000 iterations. The fitness cost to resistance is assumed to affect transmission in Model 1, progression to active disease in Model 2, and both transmission and progression in Model 3.

Model	fois	foir	β	F
1	0.22 (0.03–0.49)	0.10 (0.01–0.26)	74.70 (54.80–97.60)	0.32 (0.15–0.62)
2	0.26 (0.05–0.48)	0.15 (0.01–0.29)	75.08 (56.85–96.30)	0.38 (0.24–0.61)
3	0.22 (0.05–0.46)	0.15 (0.01–0.29)	76.45 (58.60–95.42)	0.56 (0.42–0.72)