Table 1.

Event probabilities used in decision tree analysis of neoadjuvant chemotherapy versus primary debulking surgery for bulky advanced epithelial ovarian cancer

	Probability
Event	PDS	NACT
Debulking surgery	1.00	0.95
Neoadjuvant chemotherapy	–	1.00
Early post-operative complications (≤30 days post-surgery)
Grade III-IV	0.49	0.06
Death	0.04	0.00
Adjuvant chemotherapy
Among late complications	0.81	1.00
Among no late complications	0.94	1.00
Late post-operative complications (1-6 months post-surgery)
Grade III-IV	0.13	0.00
Death	0.02	0.00

Abbreviations: PDS, primary debulking surgery; NACT, neoadjuvant chemotherapy

^*All probabilities were derived from Fagotti et al[26]